Patriots vs. 49ers Prediction: San Francisco Predicted to Win Following Latest Data Analysis for NFL Week 4 [2024]

profile-img
Written by Jason Bevilacqua
New England Patriots-San Francisco 49ers Predictions and Game Preview.
Levi's Stadium sets the stage for the NFL matchup between the New England Patriots and San Francisco 49ers this Sunday.

NFL Week 4 action continues on Sunday at 4:05PM ET as the New England Patriots take on the favored San Francisco 49ers at Levi's Stadium.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the 49ers as the most likely winner of the game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Patriots-49ers game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the 49ers with a win probability of 84%, while the Patriots have 16%."

Patriots vs. 49ers Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 4 game between the 49ers and Patriots at Levi's Stadium is scheduled to begin at 4:05PM ET.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Patriots vs. 49ers matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any 49ers vs. Patriots picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

READER EXCLUSIVE: Sign up with code 20FOOTBALL at checkout right now to receive 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! This offer won't last forever.

Patriots vs. 49ers Predictions

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Patriots and 49ers 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the 49ers an 84% chance of defeating the Patriots in Week 4 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the 49ers winning 24-15.

According to our model, the Patriots (+10) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 39.5 points has a 54% chance of going over.

 

Patriots vs. 49ers Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Patriots 49ers
Spread +10 (-105) -10 (-110)
Moneyline +420 -520
Total o39.5 (-110) u39.5 (-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Patriots vs. 49ers Picks

Our model's biggest edge in the Patriots vs. 49ers matchup is on the total.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Full access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Patriots vs. 49ers TD Scorers

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Patriots vs. 49ers?

According to our model, San Francisco's Jordan Mason is most likely to score the first touchdown in Patriots vs. 49ers.

Our projections give Mason a 14.9% chance of scoring the first TD at Levi's Stadium, while the 49ers RB is a 52.5% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

New England Patriots

Player First TD Probability
Rhamondre Stevenson 10.3%
Antonio Gibson 5.2%
Hunter Henry 4.3%

San Francisco 49ers

Player First TD Probability
Jordan Mason 14.9%
Deebo Samuel 11.2%
Brandon Aiyuk 10.8%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

New England Patriots

Player Anytime TD Probability
Rhamondre Stevenson 41.0%
Antonio Gibson 22.0%
Hunter Henry 19.4%

San Francisco 49ers

Player Anytime TD Probability
Jordan Mason 52.5%
Deebo Samuel 41.7%
Brandon Aiyuk 40.6%

Patriots vs 49ers Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Patriots and 49ers. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Patriots-49ers page now to access every player prop projection.

Patriots vs. 49ers Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Patriots' Jacoby Brissett is projected to throw for fewer yards than the 49ers' Brock Purdy.

Patriots Rushing

Rhamondre Stevenson, Antonio Gibson and Jacoby Brissett are projected to be the leading rushers for the Patriots.

Player Position
Rhamondre Stevenson RB
Antonio Gibson RB
Jacoby Brissett QB

49ers Rushing

Jordan Mason, Isaac Guerendo and Brock Purdy are expected to lead the 49ers in rushing yards.

Player Position
Jordan Mason RB
Isaac Guerendo RB
Brock Purdy QB

Patriots Receiving

Hunter Henry, DeMario Douglas, K.J. Osborn, Rhamondre Stevenson and Ja'Lynn Polk are projected to top the receiving yards for the Patriots.

Player Position
Hunter Henry TE
DeMario Douglas WR
K.J. Osborn WR
Rhamondre Stevenson RB
Ja'Lynn Polk WR

49ers Receiving

Brandon Aiyuk, Deebo Samuel, George Kittle, Jauan Jennings and Kyle Juszczyk are projected to lead the 49ers in receiving yards.

Player Position
Brandon Aiyuk WR
Deebo Samuel WR
George Kittle TE
Jauan Jennings WR
Kyle Juszczyk WR

NFL Fantasy and Betting Promos

Make the most of Dimers' Patriots vs. 49ers predictions by exploring the two exciting offers below.

DraftKings Pick6

Sign up for DraftKings Pick6 today! Play $5 and get $50 in Pick6 Credits, plus one month of NFL RedZone access.


FanDuel Sportsbook

Get ready for NFL Week 4 by joining FanDuel Sportsbook! Bet $5 and get $200 in bonus bets.


Conclusion

We predict the 49ers, with an 84% win probability, will likely beat the Patriots in Week 4 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Patriots vs. 49ers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Keep up with the latest NFL news and our data-led NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the most up-to-date predictions for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.

profile-img
Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets and props and has contributed insightful articles at Dimers since 2020 as Head of Social and Community.

Related Articles

More Articles
Loading...
Loading...
More from Dimers
About Dimers
icon 22,000+
Events covered per year
icon 10,000,000+
Users
Our partners
FanDuelDraftKingsBetMGMbet365