New England Patriots vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction: Odds, Picks for NFL Week 14 [2023]

NFL Week 14 action continues on Thursday at 8:15PM ET as the New England Patriots take on the Pittsburgh Steelers at Acrisure Stadium.

Dimers' in-depth betting preview for this week's Patriots vs. Steelers game includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and best bets.

Who Will Win: Patriots vs. Steelers

Based on advanced computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated the outcome of Thursday's Patriots-Steelers NFL matchup 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions for this week.

Dimers' independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Steelers an 82% chance of defeating the Patriots in Week 14 of the NFL season.

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Patriots vs. Steelers Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Patriots	Steelers
Spread	+5.5 (-105)	-5.5 (-110)
Moneyline	+225	-250
Total	o30 (-115)	u30 (-105)

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

• The Steelers are -5.5 favorites versus the Patriots, with -110 at BetMGM Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
• For the underdog Patriots (+5.5) to cover the spread, FanDuel Sportsbook has the best odds currently on the market at -105.
• BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Steelers at -250, which means you can risk $250 to win $100, for a total payout of $350, if they get the W.
• On the other hand, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Patriots at +225, where you can bet $100 to profit $225, earning a total payout of $325, if they win.
• The Over/Under is set at 30 with DraftKings, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -115, as well as the best odds for the Under at -105.

As always, make sure you check all the legal sportbooks that are available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

Best Bets: Patriots vs. Steelers

By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have determined the best bets to place on this game:

Bet Type	Our Pick	Best Odds
Spread	Steelers -5.5	-110
Moneyline	Steelers	-250
Total	Over 30	-115

Any time you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best free picks today across all sports.

Dimers' NFL best bets are based on complex simulations and wagering intelligence to bring you the best possible plays every time.

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Patriots vs. Steelers Prediction

Our predicted final score for New England vs. Pittsburgh at Acrisure Stadium in Week 14 has the Steelers prevailing 20-13.

According to our model, the Steelers (-5.5) have a 60% chance of covering the spread, while the 30-point Over/Under has a 56% chance of going Over.

Click or tap on See Matchup for more information on Patriots vs. Steelers.

Dimers has full coverage of Patriots vs. Steelers in Week 14, including pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Patriots vs. Steelers TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Patriots vs. Steelers? The data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Patriots and Steelers this Thursday.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you choose the best prop bets for Thursday's game.

According to DimersBOT, New England's Ezekiel Elliott is most likely to score the first TD in Patriots vs. Steelers.

DimersBOT gives Elliott a 14.2% chance of getting in for six first at Acrisure Stadium, while the Patriots RB is a 42.8% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for our complete list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

New England Patriots

Player	First Touchdown Probability
Ezekiel Elliott	14.2%
JuJu Smith-Schuster	5.3%
Bailey Zappe	5.0%
Hunter Henry	4.7%
Mike Gesicki	3.9%

Pittsburgh Steelers

Player	First Touchdown Probability
Najee Harris	12.6%
Jaylen Warren	10.4%
George Pickens	9.4%
Diontae Johnson	7.4%
Pat Freiermuth	6.2%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

New England Patriots

Player	Anytime Touchdown Probability
Ezekiel Elliott	42.8%
JuJu Smith-Schuster	18.5%
Bailey Zappe	17.4%
Hunter Henry	16.5%
Mike Gesicki	13.5%

Pittsburgh Steelers

Player	Anytime Touchdown Probability
Najee Harris	39.5%
Jaylen Warren	33.0%
George Pickens	29.5%
Diontae Johnson	25.0%
Pat Freiermuth	21.4%

Patriots-Steelers Player Props

Here, you will find detailed projections for all of the key offensive players from the Patriots and Steelers, including passing, rushing and receiving yards.

Patriots vs. Steelers Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Patriots' Bailey Zappe is projected for 204 passing yards. The Steelers' Mitch Trubisky is expected to throw for just 175 yards.

Player	Proj. Pass Yards
Bailey Zappe (NE)	204 yds
Mitch Trubisky (PIT)	175 yds

Patriots Rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Ezekiel Elliott	51 yds
Malik Cunningham	16 yds
Bailey Zappe	10 yds

Steelers Rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Najee Harris	56 yds
Jaylen Warren	46 yds
Mitch Trubisky	18 yds

Patriots Receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
JuJu Smith-Schuster	46 yds
Hunter Henry	32 yds
Tyquan Thornton	29 yds
Mike Gesicki	17 yds
Jalen Reagor	16 yds

Steelers Receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Diontae Johnson	48 yds
George Pickens	41 yds
Pat Freiermuth	33 yds
Jaylen Warren	23 yds
Najee Harris	14 yds

Remember, DimersBOT updates often, so refresh this article for any changes to our betting analysis ahead of Patriots vs. Steelers on Thursday December 7, 2023.

Patriots vs. Steelers Preview

The NFL Week 14 matchup between the Steelers and Patriots at Acrisure Stadium is scheduled to commence at 8:15PM ET.

• Who: New England Patriots vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
• Date: Thursday December 7, 2023
• Time: 8:15PM ET / 5:15PM PT
• Venue: Acrisure Stadium

How to Bet on Patriots vs. Steelers

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Conclusion

This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on the Patriots vs. Steelers game, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

Dimers' predictions are based on 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While these Patriots vs. Steelers predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively.

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