New England Patriots vs. Pittsburgh Steelers: Our NFL Same Game Parlay for Thursday Night Football

Week 14 gets underway with a slog between the New England Patriots and Pittsburgh Steelers. Dimers has got you covered for Thursday night's main event as we put our NFL player prop bets to the test, combining our model's best parlay picks of the night into a Same Game Parlay that you're going to want to lock in and ride out with us.

MORE: Who Will Win the Super Bowl?

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NFL +500 Same Game Parlay For Thursday

Parlay Picks	Odds
Jaylen Warren (PIT) Under 51.5 Rush Yds	-115
Ezekiel Elliott (NE) Under 58.5 Rushing Yards	-115
Diontae Johnson (PIT) Over 42.5 Rec Yds	-115

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Thursday Night Football Parlay Analysis

New England Patriots @ Pittsburgh Steelers 8:15PM ET

LEG 1: Jaylen Warren (PIT) Under 51.5 Rush Yds (-115)

Let's face it, this is an ugly game. Two teams with backup quarterbacks in cold weather and this is looking like an absolute slog. But, we're finding value all the same and it starts with taking an under on Steelers RB Jaylen Warren. Now, Jaylen Warren has seen a bigger workload in the past month and it's resulting in production as he's cleared this in four of his last five games, after failing to do so all season. He's been getting it done with efficiency, averaging at least 6.7 PC in the games he went over and one of those games included a 74-yard TD scamper.

So why take his under? For starters, DimersBOT likes it with a 73% probability and a projection of 46 yards. Furthermore, the Patriots have the third-best rushing defense in the league and allow the fewest yards per rush in the whole league at just 3.1 and are just 52.3 per game over their last three games.

MORE: Best NFL Prop Picks

LEG 2: Ezekiel Elliott (NE) Under 58.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Time to fade another running back, this time on the other squad. Zeke is likely to see 20-25 touches tonight as the de facto RB1 in this offense with Rhamondre Stevenson out. Zeke has cleared this mark once this year, back in Week 3, and even with Rhanomndre going down last week, mustered 52 yards on 17 carries. The Steelers defense just got carved by the Cardinals on the ground, but prior to that had stuffed both Joe Mixon and Kareem Hunt for 16 and 36 rushing yards respectively. Zeke fits a similar mold of those backs, plus should see several targets out of the backfield which will siphon some of his rushing upside. He gets 51-yard projection from DimersBOT tonight.

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LEG 3: Diontae Johnson (PIT) Over 42.5 Rec Yds (-115)

After a pair of fades, we're taking an over, betting gods help us. Diontae Johnson has hit this mark in five of eight games played this season and now has Mitch Trubisky under center. They've had the full week to gameplan for Trubisky Time and will have to find success through the air against this stifling Patriots rush defense. Johnson is our model's highest projected receiver at 48 receiving yards tonight which would be enough to hit this leg. 

🏈 New England Patriots vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Predictions
📈 Betting preview: New England Patriots vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

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NFL +500 Same Game Parlay Thursday, December 7, 2023

1️⃣ Jaylen Warren (PIT) Under 51.5 Rush Yds
2️⃣ Ezekiel Elliott (NE) Under 58.5 Rushing Yards
3️⃣ Diontae Johnson (PIT) Over 42.5 Rec Yds

The best odds for this SGP are over at DraftKings Sportsbook and are subject to change.

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