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Patriots vs. Dolphins Prediction: Miami Predicted to Win in NFL Week 12 [2024]
Our expert prediction for Sunday's New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins matchup.
NFL Week 12 action continues on Sunday at 1:00PM ET as the New England Patriots take on the Miami Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Dolphins as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's New England-Miami game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Dolphins with a win probability of 75%, while the Patriots have 25%."
This updated Patriots vs. Dolphins betting preview builds on my early Patriots vs. Dolphins prediction that I released at the start of the week.
For further insights into today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Patriots vs. Dolphins predictions page.
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Patriots vs. Dolphins Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
The NFL Week 12 matchup between the Dolphins and Patriots at Hard Rock Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins
- Date: Sunday, November 24, 2024
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
- Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
- Merchandise: Buy Dolphins and Patriots gear at Fanatics
Dimers.com's full preview of this week's Patriots vs. Dolphins matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any New England vs. Miami picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Patriots vs. Dolphins Predictions
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Patriots and Dolphins 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Dolphins a 75% chance of defeating the Patriots in Week 12 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Dolphins winning 26-19.
According to our model, the Patriots (+7.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 45.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
In addition to our Patriots vs. Dolphins predictions, we've also got the following locked and loaded for today’s action:
Patriots vs. Dolphins Odds
We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Patriots | Dolphins |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +7.5 (-112) | -7.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +310 | -355 |
| Total | o45.5 (-110) | u45.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Patriots vs. Dolphins Picks
Our model's biggest edge in today's Patriots vs. Dolphins matchup is on the total.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Patriots vs. Dolphins TD Scorers
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Patriots vs. Dolphins?
According to our model, Miami's De'Von Achane is most likely to score the first touchdown in Patriots vs. Dolphins.
Our projections give Achane a 14.8% chance of scoring the first TD at Hard Rock Stadium, while the Dolphins RB is a 57.1% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
New England Patriots
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 8.5% |
| Kayshon Boutte | 5.6% |
| Hunter Henry | 5.6% |
Miami Dolphins
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| De'Von Achane | 14.8% |
| Tyreek Hill | 10.2% |
| Jonnu Smith | 7.5% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
New England Patriots
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 38.4% |
| Kayshon Boutte | 26.8% |
| Hunter Henry | 26.2% |
Miami Dolphins
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| De'Von Achane | 57.1% |
| Tyreek Hill | 41.8% |
| Jonnu Smith | 33.0% |
For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 12 touchdown scorer predictions
Patriots vs Dolphins Player Props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Patriots and Dolphins. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.
Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Patriots-Dolphins page now to access every player prop projection.
Patriots vs. Dolphins Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Patriots' Drake Maye is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa.
Patriots Rushing
Rhamondre Stevenson, Drake Maye and Antonio Gibson are projected to be the leading rushers for the Patriots.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Rhamondre Stevenson | RB |
| Drake Maye | QB |
| Antonio Gibson | RB |
Dolphins Rushing
De'Von Achane, Jaylen Wright and Raheem Mostert are expected to lead the Dolphins in rushing yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| De'Von Achane | RB |
| Jaylen Wright | RB |
| Raheem Mostert | RB |
Patriots Receiving
DeMario Douglas, Hunter Henry, Kayshon Boutte, Kendrick Bourne and Austin Hooper are projected to top the receiving yards for the Patriots.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| DeMario Douglas | WR |
| Hunter Henry | TE |
| Kayshon Boutte | WR |
| Kendrick Bourne | WR |
| Austin Hooper | TE |
Dolphins Receiving
Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle, Jonnu Smith, De'Von Achane and Odell Beckham are projected to lead the Dolphins in receiving yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Tyreek Hill | WR |
| Jaylen Waddle | WR |
| Jonnu Smith | TE |
| De'Von Achane | RB |
| Odell Beckham | WR |
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Conclusion
We predict the Dolphins, with a 75% win probability, will likely beat the Patriots in Week 12 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Patriots vs. Dolphins insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NFL
Keep up with the latest NFL betting news, NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds offer the most up-to-date predictions for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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