New England Patriots vs. Denver Broncos Prediction, Odds, NFL Picks - Week 16 [2023]

The Denver Broncos and New England Patriots are scheduled to meet in Week 16 of the NFL season at Empower Field at Mile High on Sunday, with kickoff at 8:15PM ET.

Dimers.com's full betting preview for this week's Patriots vs. Broncos matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.

Patriots vs. Broncos Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread

We have used advanced machine learning and data to simulate the result of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Patriots and Broncos 10,000 times, in line with our coverage of NFL predictions.

Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Broncos an 80% chance of defeating the Patriots in Week 16 of the NFL season, and our predicted final score has the Broncos winning 23-15.

According to our model, the Broncos (-7) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 37-point Over/Under has a 57% chance of going over.

Today's New England vs. Denver betting preview is proudly sponsored by Bet365, which has a great Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets offer for new users.

Patriots vs. Broncos Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Patriots	Broncos
Spread	+7 (-110)	-7 (-110)
Moneyline	+285	-340
Total	o37 (-115)	u37 (-105)

• The Broncos are -7 favorites versus the Patriots, with -110 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
• For the underdog Patriots (+7) to cover the spread, DraftKings also has the best odds currently on offer at -110.
• DraftKings currently has the best moneyline odds for the Broncos at -340, which means you can risk $340 to win $100 for a total payout of $440 if they get the W.
• On the other hand, FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Patriots at +285, where you can put down $100 to profit $285, earning a total payout of $385 if they win.
• The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 37 with FanDuel, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -115, as well as the best odds for the Under at -105.

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

As always, check out the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

Patriots vs. Broncos Picks

By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have determined the best betting picks to place on this game:

Bet Type	Our Pick	Best Odds
Spread	Broncos -7	-110
Moneyline	Broncos	-340
Total	Over 37	-115

Our best NFL bets are based on world-class modeling and gambling expertise to bring you the best possible plays every week of the season.

Calling all football fans! If you are yet to sign up with DraftKings Sportsbook, today is the day! Click here to sign up, and then place a $5 wager on New England vs. Denver to receive $150 in bonus bets, win or lose!

Patriots vs. Broncos TD Scorers

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Patriots vs. Broncos?

According to our model, Denver's Javonte Williams is most likely to score the first touchdown in Patriots vs. Broncos.

Our projections give Williams a 15.8% chance of scoring the first TD at Empower Field at Mile High, while the Broncos RB is a 52.7% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

New England Patriots

Player	First TD Probability
Ezekiel Elliott	12.3%
Demario Douglas	6.0%
Bailey Zappe	5.1%
DeVante Parker	4.9%
Mike Gesicki	3.6%

Denver Broncos

Player	First TD Probability
Javonte Williams	15.8%
Courtland Sutton	14.0%
Jerry Jeudy	7.5%
Russell Wilson	5.4%
Adam Trautman	3.5%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

New England Patriots

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Ezekiel Elliott	45.7%
Demario Douglas	25.2%
Bailey Zappe	21.2%
DeVante Parker	20.0%
Mike Gesicki	15.8%

Denver Broncos

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Javonte Williams	52.7%
Courtland Sutton	47.8%
Jerry Jeudy	29.1%
Russell Wilson	21.0%
Adam Trautman	14.1%

Patriots vs Broncos Player Props

Here, you will find detailed projections for all of the key offensive players from the Patriots and Broncos, including passing, rushing and receiving yards.

Patriots vs. Broncos Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Patriots' Bailey Zappe is projected for 211 passing yards, while the Broncos' Russell Wilson is expected to throw for 218 yards.

Player	Proj. Pass Yards
Bailey Zappe (NE)	211 yds
Russell Wilson (DEN)	218 yds

Patriots Rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Ezekiel Elliott	63 yds
Kevin Harris	14 yds
Bailey Zappe	10 yds

Broncos Rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Javonte Williams	63 yds
Russell Wilson	24 yds
Jaleel McLaughlin	13 yds

Patriots Receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Demario Douglas	49 yds
DeVante Parker	48 yds
Ezekiel Elliott	24 yds
Pharaoh Brown	20 yds
Mike Gesicki	16 yds

Broncos Receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Courtland Sutton	55 yds
Jerry Jeudy	44 yds
Marvin Mims	21 yds
Javonte Williams	18 yds
Adam Trautman	16 yds

Don't forget, our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for any changes to our betting insights before the Patriots vs. Broncos on Sunday December 24, 2023.

Patriots vs. Broncos Game Information

The NFL Week 16 game between the Broncos and Patriots at Empower Field at Mile High is scheduled to begin at 8:15PM ET.

• Who: New England Patriots vs. Denver Broncos
• Date: Sunday December 24, 2023
• Time: 8:15PM ET / 5:15PM PT
• Venue: Empower Field at Mile High

Our full betting coverage of Patriots vs. Broncos includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.

How to Bet on Patriots vs. Broncos

Ready to join an online sportsbook and start betting on the NFL today? Check out the top sportsbook bonus offers in your state, including Bet365, where you get $150 in bonus bets for signing up and bettting $5 on New England vs. Denver.

Conclusion

This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on Patriots vs. Broncos Week 14 matchup, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control are performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

Our picks and predictions are made after 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While our Patriots vs. Broncos picks can help you make informed decisions, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may earn a referral fee at no additional cost to you.

More on NFL

Stay updated with the latest NFL betting news and our data-led NFL picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our Super Bowl odds give you the most up-to-date projections and the best available odds on the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC, and each division.