Patriots vs. Bengals Prediction: Cincinnati Predicted to Win Following Latest Data Analysis for NFL Week 1 [2024]

The Cincinnati Bengals and New England Patriots will meet in Week 1 of the NFL season at Paycor Stadium on Sunday, with kickoff at 1:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Bengals as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Patriots-Bengals game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Bengals with a win probability of 79%, while the Patriots have 21%."

Patriots vs. Bengals Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 1 action between the Bengals and Patriots at Paycor Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: New England Patriots vs. Cincinnati Bengals
• Date: Sunday, September 8, 2024
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Paycor Stadium
• Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
• Merchandise: Buy Bengals and Patriots gear at Fanatics
• Live Stream: Watch this game on CBS via Hulu, FuboTV or Paramount+

Dimers.com's full preview of this week's Patriots vs. Bengals matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Bengals vs. Patriots picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Patriots vs. Bengals Predictions

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Patriots and Bengals 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Bengals a 79% chance of beating the Patriots in Week 1 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Bengals winning 24-16.

According to our model, the Bengals (-7.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 40.5-point over/under has a 55% chance of going over.

Patriots vs. Bengals Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Patriots	Bengals
Spread	+7.5 (-106)	-7.5 (-110)
Moneyline	+340	-375
Total	o40.5 (-108)	u40.5 (-106)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Patriots vs. Bengals Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Patriots vs. Bengals matchup is on the spread.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Full access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Patriots vs. Bengals TD Scorers

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Patriots vs. Bengals?

According to our model, Cincinnati's Zack Moss is most likely to score the first touchdown in Patriots vs. Bengals.

Our projections give Moss a 10.5% chance of scoring the first TD at Paycor Stadium, while the Bengals RB is a 40.0% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

New England Patriots

Player	First TD Probability
Rhamondre Stevenson	7.3%
K.J. Osborn	4.7%
Hunter Henry	4.6%

Cincinnati Bengals

Player	First TD Probability
Zack Moss	10.5%
Ja'Marr Chase	9.9%
Andrei Iosivas	7.1%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

New England Patriots

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Rhamondre Stevenson	31.4%
Hunter Henry	21.4%
K.J. Osborn	21.0%

Cincinnati Bengals

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Zack Moss	40.0%
Ja'Marr Chase	38.3%
Trenton Irwin	29.5%

For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 1 touchdown scorer predictions

Patriots vs Bengals Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Patriots and Bengals. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Patriots-Bengals page now to access every player prop projection.

Patriots vs. Bengals Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Patriots' Jacoby Brissett is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Bengals' Joe Burrow.

Patriots Rushing

Rhamondre Stevenson, Antonio Gibson and Jacoby Brissett are projected to be the leading rushers for the Patriots.

Player	Position
Rhamondre Stevenson	RB
Antonio Gibson	RB
Jacoby Brissett	QB

Bengals Rushing

Zack Moss, Chase Brown and Joe Burrow are expected to lead the Bengals in rushing yards.

Player	Position
Zack Moss	RB
Chase Brown	RB
Joe Burrow	QB

Patriots Receiving

DeMario Douglas, Ja'Lynn Polk, Hunter Henry, K.J. Osborn and Antonio Gibson are projected to top the receiving yards for the Patriots.

Player	Position
DeMario Douglas	WR
Ja'Lynn Polk	WR
Hunter Henry	TE
K.J. Osborn	WR
Antonio Gibson	RB

Bengals Receiving

Ja'Marr Chase, Trenton Irwin, Andrei Iosivas, Chase Brown and Jermaine Burton are projected to lead the Bengals in receiving yards.

Player	Position
Ja'Marr Chase	WR
Trenton Irwin	WR
Andrei Iosivas	WR
Chase Brown	RB
Jermaine Burton	WR

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Conclusion

We predict the Bengals, with a 79% win probability, will likely beat the Patriots on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Patriots vs. Bengals insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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