Patriots vs. Bears Prediction: Chicago Predicted to Win in NFL Week 10 [2024]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua
New England Patriots-Chicago Bears Predictions and Game Preview.
Soldier Field sets the stage for the NFL matchup between the New England Patriots and Chicago Bears this Sunday.

NFL Week 10 action continues on Sunday at 1:00PM ET as the New England Patriots face off with the favored Chicago Bears at Soldier Field.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Bears as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Patriots-Bears game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Bears with a win probability of 75%, while the Patriots have 25%."

This updated Patriots vs. Bears betting preview is a follow-up on our early Patriots vs. Bears prediction that was published at the start of the week.

For more detail on today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, check out our interactive Patriots vs. Bears predictions page.

Patriots vs. Bears Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 10 game between the Bears and Patriots at Soldier Field is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of this week's Patriots vs. Bears matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any New England vs. Chicago picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Patriots vs. Bears Predictions

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Patriots and Bears 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Bears a 75% chance of defeating the Patriots in Week 10 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Bears winning 21-16.

According to our model, the Patriots (+6.5) have a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the 37.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of going over.

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In addition to our Patriots vs. Bears predictions, we've also prepared the following for today’s action:

Patriots vs. Bears Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Patriots Bears
Spread +6.5 (-110) -6.5 (-105)
Moneyline +245 -280
Total o37.5 (-105) u37.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Patriots vs. Bears Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Patriots vs. Bears matchup is on the over/under.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Patriots vs. Bears TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Patriots vs. Bears?

According to our model, Chicago's D'Andre Swift is most likely to score the first TD in Patriots vs. Bears.

Our projections give Swift a 13.0% chance of getting in for six first at Soldier Field, while the Bears RB is a 45.4% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

New England Patriots

Player First TD Probability
Rhamondre Stevenson 9.0%
Drake Maye 6.3%
Hunter Henry 5.3%

Chicago Bears

Player First TD Probability
D'Andre Swift 13.0%
DJ Moore 9.4%
Rome Odunze 8.2%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

New England Patriots

Player Anytime TD Probability
Rhamondre Stevenson 34.0%
Drake Maye 25.3%
Hunter Henry 21.0%

Chicago Bears

Player Anytime TD Probability
D'Andre Swift 45.4%
DJ Moore 36.2%
Rome Odunze 32.0%

For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 10 touchdown scorer predictions

Patriots vs Bears Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Patriots and Bears. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Patriots-Bears page now to access every player prop projection.

Patriots vs. Bears Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Patriots' Drake Maye is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Bears' Caleb Williams.

Patriots Rushing

Rhamondre Stevenson, Drake Maye and Antonio Gibson are projected to be the leading rushers for the Patriots.

Player Position
Rhamondre Stevenson RB
Drake Maye QB
Antonio Gibson RB

Bears Rushing

D'Andre Swift, Caleb Williams and Roschon Johnson are expected to lead the Bears in rushing yards.

Player Position
D'Andre Swift RB
Caleb Williams QB
Roschon Johnson RB

Patriots Receiving

DeMario Douglas, Hunter Henry, Kendrick Bourne, Kayshon Boutte and Austin Hooper are projected to top the receiving yards for the Patriots.

Player Position
DeMario Douglas WR
Hunter Henry TE
Kendrick Bourne WR
Kayshon Boutte WR
Austin Hooper TE

Bears Receiving

DJ Moore, Keenan Allen, Rome Odunze, Cole Kmet and D'Andre Swift are projected to lead the Bears in receiving yards.

Player Position
DJ Moore WR
Keenan Allen WR
Rome Odunze WR
Cole Kmet TE
D'Andre Swift RB

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Conclusion

We predict the Bears, with a 75% win probability, will likely beat the Patriots in Week 10 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Patriots vs. Bears insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Stay up-to-date with the latest NFL news, NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds offer the most up-to-date projections for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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