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Patriots vs. Bears Prediction: Chicago Predicted to Win in NFL Week 10 [2024]
NFL Week 10 action continues on Sunday at 1:00PM ET as the New England Patriots face off with the favored Chicago Bears at Soldier Field.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Bears as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Patriots-Bears game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Bears with a win probability of 75%, while the Patriots have 25%."
This updated Patriots vs. Bears betting preview is a follow-up on our early Patriots vs. Bears prediction that was published at the start of the week.
For more detail on today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, check out our interactive Patriots vs. Bears predictions page.
Patriots vs. Bears Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
The NFL Week 10 game between the Bears and Patriots at Soldier Field is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: New England Patriots vs. Chicago Bears
- Date: Sunday, November 10, 2024
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Soldier Field
- Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
- Merchandise: Buy Bears and Patriots gear at Fanatics
Dimers.com's in-depth preview of this week's Patriots vs. Bears matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any New England vs. Chicago picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
READER EXCLUSIVE: Use code 20FOOTBALL at checkout now to get 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! Hurry, this offer won't last long.
Patriots vs. Bears Predictions
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Patriots and Bears 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Bears a 75% chance of defeating the Patriots in Week 10 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Bears winning 21-16.
According to our model, the Patriots (+6.5) have a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the 37.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of going over.
In addition to our Patriots vs. Bears predictions, we've also prepared the following for today’s action:
Patriots vs. Bears Odds
We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Patriots | Bears |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +6.5 (-110) | -6.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +245 | -280 |
| Total | o37.5 (-105) | u37.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Patriots vs. Bears Picks
Our model's biggest edge in today's Patriots vs. Bears matchup is on the over/under.
Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Patriots vs. Bears TD Scorers
Who will score the first touchdown in Patriots vs. Bears?
According to our model, Chicago's D'Andre Swift is most likely to score the first TD in Patriots vs. Bears.
Our projections give Swift a 13.0% chance of getting in for six first at Soldier Field, while the Bears RB is a 45.4% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
New England Patriots
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 9.0% |
| Drake Maye | 6.3% |
| Hunter Henry | 5.3% |
Chicago Bears
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| D'Andre Swift | 13.0% |
| DJ Moore | 9.4% |
| Rome Odunze | 8.2% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
New England Patriots
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 34.0% |
| Drake Maye | 25.3% |
| Hunter Henry | 21.0% |
Chicago Bears
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| D'Andre Swift | 45.4% |
| DJ Moore | 36.2% |
| Rome Odunze | 32.0% |
For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 10 touchdown scorer predictions
Patriots vs Bears Player Props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Patriots and Bears. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.
Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Patriots-Bears page now to access every player prop projection.
Patriots vs. Bears Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Patriots' Drake Maye is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Bears' Caleb Williams.
Patriots Rushing
Rhamondre Stevenson, Drake Maye and Antonio Gibson are projected to be the leading rushers for the Patriots.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Rhamondre Stevenson | RB |
| Drake Maye | QB |
| Antonio Gibson | RB |
Bears Rushing
D'Andre Swift, Caleb Williams and Roschon Johnson are expected to lead the Bears in rushing yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| D'Andre Swift | RB |
| Caleb Williams | QB |
| Roschon Johnson | RB |
Patriots Receiving
DeMario Douglas, Hunter Henry, Kendrick Bourne, Kayshon Boutte and Austin Hooper are projected to top the receiving yards for the Patriots.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| DeMario Douglas | WR |
| Hunter Henry | TE |
| Kendrick Bourne | WR |
| Kayshon Boutte | WR |
| Austin Hooper | TE |
Bears Receiving
DJ Moore, Keenan Allen, Rome Odunze, Cole Kmet and D'Andre Swift are projected to lead the Bears in receiving yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| DJ Moore | WR |
| Keenan Allen | WR |
| Rome Odunze | WR |
| Cole Kmet | TE |
| D'Andre Swift | RB |
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Conclusion
We predict the Bears, with a 75% win probability, will likely beat the Patriots in Week 10 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Patriots vs. Bears insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NFL
Stay up-to-date with the latest NFL news, NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds offer the most up-to-date projections for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets and props. He has contributed insightful articles at Dimers since 2020 as Head of Social and Community.
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