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Patriots vs. Cardinals Prediction: Arizona Predicted to Win in NFL Week 15 [2024]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Our expert prediction for Sunday's New England Patriots vs Arizona Cardinals matchup.
NFL Week 15 action continues on Sunday at 4:25PM ET as the New England Patriots face off with the favored Arizona Cardinals at State Farm Stadium.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Cardinals as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's New England-Arizona game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Cardinals with a win probability of 70%, while the Patriots have 30%."
This updated Patriots vs. Cardinals betting preview builds on my early Patriots vs. Cardinals prediction that I published at the start of the week.
For further insights into today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Patriots vs. Cardinals predictions page.
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Get 20% off Dimers Pro With Code 20FOOTBALL Get Dimers Pro Patriots vs. Cardinals Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
The NFL Week 15 game between the Cardinals and Patriots at State Farm Stadium is scheduled to begin at 4:25PM ET.
- Who: New England Patriots vs. Arizona Cardinals
- Date: Sunday, December 15, 2024
- Time: 4:25PM ET/1:25PM PT
- Venue: State Farm Stadium
- Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
- Merchandise: Buy Cardinals and Patriots gear at Fanatics
Dimers.com's full preview of this week's Patriots vs. Cardinals matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any New England vs. Arizona picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Patriots vs. Cardinals Predictions
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Patriots and Cardinals 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Cardinals a 70% chance of beating the Patriots in Week 15 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Cardinals winning 26-20.
According to our model, the Patriots (+6.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 46.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
In addition to our Patriots vs. Cardinals predictions, we've also got the following locked and loaded for today’s action:
Patriots vs. Cardinals Odds
We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Patriots | Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +6.5 (-115) | -6.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +220 | -250 |
| Total | o46.5 (-108) | u46.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Patriots vs. Cardinals Picks
Our model's biggest edge in today's Patriots vs. Cardinals matchup is on the total.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Unlock Every Patriots-Cardinals Pick Get Dimers Pro Patriots vs. Cardinals TD Scorers
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Patriots vs. Cardinals?
According to our model, Arizona's James Conner is most likely to score the first touchdown in Patriots vs. Cardinals.
Our projections give Conner a 15.2% chance of scoring the first TD at State Farm Stadium, while the Cardinals RB is a 57.7% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
New England Patriots
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 8.8% |
| Kayshon Boutte | 5.6% |
| Kendrick Bourne | 5.0% |
Arizona Cardinals
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| James Conner | 15.2% |
| Marvin Harrison | 9.5% |
| Kyler Murray | 8.5% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
New England Patriots
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 38.8% |
| Kayshon Boutte | 27.1% |
| Hunter Henry | 25.5% |
Arizona Cardinals
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| James Conner | 57.7% |
| Marvin Harrison | 42.0% |
| Kyler Murray | 39.3% |
For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 15 touchdown scorer predictions
Patriots vs Cardinals Player Props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Patriots and Cardinals. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.
Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Patriots-Cardinals page now to access every player prop projection.
Patriots vs. Cardinals Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Patriots' Drake Maye is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Cardinals' Kyler Murray.
Patriots Rushing
Rhamondre Stevenson, Drake Maye and Antonio Gibson are projected to be the leading rushers for the Patriots.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Rhamondre Stevenson | RB |
| Drake Maye | QB |
| Antonio Gibson | RB |
Cardinals Rushing
James Conner, Kyler Murray and Trey Benson are expected to lead the Cardinals in rushing yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| James Conner | RB |
| Kyler Murray | QB |
| Trey Benson | RB |
Patriots Receiving
DeMario Douglas, Kendrick Bourne, Hunter Henry, Kayshon Boutte and Austin Hooper are projected to top the receiving yards for the Patriots.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| DeMario Douglas | WR |
| Kendrick Bourne | WR |
| Hunter Henry | TE |
| Kayshon Boutte | WR |
| Austin Hooper | TE |
Cardinals Receiving
Trey McBride, Marvin Harrison, Michael Wilson, James Conner and Elijah Higgins are projected to lead the Cardinals in receiving yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Trey McBride | TE |
| Marvin Harrison | WR |
| Michael Wilson | WR |
| James Conner | RB |
| Elijah Higgins | TE |
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Conclusion
We predict the Cardinals, with a 70% win probability, will likely beat the Patriots in Week 15 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Patriots vs. Cardinals insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
More on NFL
Stay informed with the latest NFL betting news, NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds offer the most up-to-date predictions for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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