Patriots vs. Cardinals Prediction: Arizona Predicted to Win in NFL Week 15 [2024]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert prediction for Sunday's New England Patriots vs Arizona Cardinals matchup.

New England Patriots-Arizona Cardinals Predictions and Game Preview.
State Farm Stadium sets the stage for the NFL matchup between the New England Patriots and Arizona Cardinals this Sunday.

The Arizona Cardinals will face the New England Patriots in NFL Week 15 action at State Farm Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 4:25PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Cardinals as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's New England-Arizona game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Cardinals with a win probability of 70%, while the Patriots have 30%."

This updated Patriots vs. Cardinals betting preview builds on my early Patriots vs. Cardinals prediction that I released at the start of the week.

For expanded analysis of today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Patriots vs. Cardinals predictions page.

READER EXCLUSIVE: Use code 20FOOTBALL at checkout now to get 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! Hurry, this offer won't last long.

Patriots vs. Cardinals Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 15 matchup between the Cardinals and Patriots at State Farm Stadium is scheduled to begin at 4:25PM ET.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Patriots vs. Cardinals matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any New England vs. Arizona picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Patriots vs. Cardinals Predictions

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Patriots and Cardinals 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Cardinals a 70% chance of defeating the Patriots in Week 15 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Cardinals winning 26-20.

According to our model, the Patriots (+6.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 46.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

 

Patriots vs. Cardinals Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Patriots Cardinals
Spread +6.5 (-115) -6.5 (-105)
Moneyline +220 -250
Total o46.5 (-104) u46.5 (-118)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Patriots vs. Cardinals Picks

Our model's strongest edge in today's Patriots vs. Cardinals matchup is on the over/under.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Patriots vs. Cardinals TD Scorers

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Patriots vs. Cardinals?

According to our model, Arizona's James Conner is most likely to score the first TD in Patriots vs. Cardinals.

Our projections give Conner a 15.1% chance of scoring the first TD at State Farm Stadium, while the Cardinals RB is a 57.2% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

New England Patriots

Player First TD Probability
Rhamondre Stevenson 8.6%
Kayshon Boutte 5.6%
Kendrick Bourne 5.2%

Arizona Cardinals

Player First TD Probability
James Conner 15.1%
Marvin Harrison 9.5%
Kyler Murray 8.9%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

New England Patriots

Player Anytime TD Probability
Rhamondre Stevenson 38.5%
Kayshon Boutte 27.2%
Hunter Henry 25.4%

Arizona Cardinals

Player Anytime TD Probability
James Conner 57.2%
Marvin Harrison 42.0%
Kyler Murray 39.3%

Patriots vs Cardinals Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Patriots and Cardinals. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Patriots-Cardinals page now to access every player prop projection.

Patriots vs. Cardinals Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Patriots' Drake Maye is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Cardinals' Kyler Murray.

Patriots Rushing

Rhamondre Stevenson, Drake Maye and Antonio Gibson are projected to be the leading rushers for the Patriots.

Player Position
Rhamondre Stevenson RB
Drake Maye QB
Antonio Gibson RB

Cardinals Rushing

James Conner, Kyler Murray and Trey Benson are expected to lead the Cardinals in rushing yards.

Player Position
James Conner RB
Kyler Murray QB
Trey Benson RB

Patriots Receiving

DeMario Douglas, Kendrick Bourne, Hunter Henry, Kayshon Boutte and Austin Hooper are projected to top the receiving yards for the Patriots.

Player Position
DeMario Douglas WR
Kendrick Bourne WR
Hunter Henry TE
Kayshon Boutte WR
Austin Hooper TE

Cardinals Receiving

Trey McBride, Marvin Harrison, Michael Wilson, James Conner and Elijah Higgins are projected to lead the Cardinals in receiving yards.

Player Position
Trey McBride TE
Marvin Harrison WR
Michael Wilson WR
James Conner RB
Elijah Higgins TE

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Conclusion

We predict the Cardinals, with a 70% win probability, will likely beat the Patriots in Week 15 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Patriots vs. Cardinals insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Stay up-to-date with the latest NFL news, NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the most up-to-date predictions for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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