Necaxa vs. Toluca Prediction, Odds, Liga MX Picks [10/27/2024]

Necaxa and Toluca are scheduled to meet in Liga MX at Estadio Victoria on Sunday, starting at 8:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven Liga MX model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects Toluca as the most likely winner of the game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Necaxa-Toluca game," said Dave Garofolo from Dimers.

"Taking into account the most current updates and numerous additional factors, our prediction gives Necaxa a 28.6% chance of winning, Toluca a 47.1% chance, and a 24.3% chance of a draw."

Necaxa vs. Toluca Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's matchup between Necaxa and Toluca at Estadio Victoria is scheduled to commence at 8:00PM ET.

• Who: Necaxa vs. Toluca
• Date: Sunday, October 27, 2024
• Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: Estadio Victoria

Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Necaxa vs. Toluca matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Necaxa vs. Toluca picks, be sure to check out the latest Liga MX predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Necaxa vs. Toluca Prediction: Who Will Win?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Liga MX matchup between Necaxa and Toluca 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model suggests a 28.6% chance of Necaxa winning, a 47.1% chance for Toluca, and a 24.3% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 55% chance of going over, according to our model.

Necaxa vs. Toluca Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Necaxa	Toluca	Draw
+230	+105	+250

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
-134	-104

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Necaxa vs. Toluca Picks

Our model's biggest edge in the Necaxa vs. Toluca matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best Liga MX picks for every game throughout the season.

Full access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Necaxa vs. Toluca: Correct Score Prediction

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
NXA 1-1 TOL	11.4%
NXA 1-2 TOL	9.4%
NXA 0-1 TOL	9.2%

These final scores are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Necaxa has a 28.6% win probability on Sunday, Toluca has a 47.1% win probability, and there is a 24.3% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Necaxa vs. Toluca insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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