The Best NBA Player Props & First Basket Bets For Tuesday

We've dived deep into our predictive analytics model, otherwise known as DimersBOT, to identify the best odds and betting opportunities, plus the best NBA player props and first basket predictions for Tuesday November 22, 2022. Using the world renowned Monte Carlo method, we have simulated every major pro and college sport over 10,000 times to produce NBA predictions that paint the clearest picture of what is likely to occur in any given game, and which players will contribute to those predictions either hitting or missing. We then use these suggested NBA prop bets and match them against the sportsbooks' odds to identify where we have a betting edge, and where we believe the odds makers have got it wrong in their assessment of an NBA matchup.

Using the Total Points, Rebounds, Assists, Three-Pointers, Blocks, Steals, Turnovers and First Basket player prop markets, and then matching them against the results of our simulations, gives us a massive opportunity to identify the best player prop bets for Tuesday, with the biggest edges, to throw our cash down on today.

For NBA prop bets from EVERY game being played today, check out our NBA Prop Bets generator to find yourself today's best plays.

Why You Should Use More Than One Sportsbook

As you're about to see, not all sportsbooks are the same. Some offer good odds, and some bad. Your job is to make sure you're armed with funded accounts for all the major players so you can capitalize on the edges we identify in these articles.

Why is this important? Well, as you'll see below, our technology scans all the major sportsbooks to identify opportunities to take advantage of instances where the odds-makers get it wrong. And when the sportsbooks get it wrong, it means we can make some money.

Here are the best offers currently available to new users:

DraftKings: New users will get $150 in free bets when they place a $5 money line bet on any sport. DraftKings is often the sportsbook with the best odds on player props.

BetMGM: If you're yet to join BetMGM, then now is as good of a time as any. Get risk-free bet up to $1000 when you create an account and make your first deposit.

NBA Player Props Tuesday

Nets vs. 76ers

BET: Kevin Durant Over 5.5 Total Assists (+122)

DimersBOT has KD dishing 6.9 dimes against the 76ers tonight so, at odds of +122, betting his Over 5.5 assists gives us a nice edge of 12.9%. We need to place this bet at PointsBet, where new PointsBet customers can score 5x $100 risk-free bets by joining today right here.

BET: Kevin Durant Over 28.5 Points Scored (-102)

Our predictive analytics model also has KD down for 32.8 points tonight against the Sixers, so his odds of -102 look very tasty indeed and give us a 8.3% edge. We should bet his Over 28.5 points line with DraftKings Sportsbook, where new users get $200 in bonuses from a $5 money line bet. Claim it here.

Lakers vs. Suns

BET: Cameron Payne Over 7.5 Total Assists (+114)

We love Payne to get at least 8 assists (we have him down for 8.8) tonight against the Lakers, so with odds of +114 available we should bet his Over 7.5 rebounds line with DraftKings Sportsbook where we have a 10.9% edge. You can register a DraftKings account here and score $200 in bonuses from a $5 money line bet.

BET: Deandre Ayton Over 9.5 Total Rebounds (+106)

In over 10,000 different simulations of the Lakers-Suns game, we have Ayton notching 10.7 boards tonight so, at odds of +106, betting his Over 9.5 rebounds gives us a tempting edge of 8.6% with PointsBet, where new customers can score those 5x $100 risk-free bets here.

Kings vs. Grizzlies

BET: Dillon Brooks Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made (+112)

Our predictive analytics model has Brooks down for 2.8 triples tonight against the Kings, so his odds of +112 look very tasty indeed. We should bet his Over 2.5 threes line with at PointsBet, where we have a 6.3% edge. New PointsBet customers can score 5x $100 risk-free bets by joining today right here.

For NBA prop bets from EVERY game being played today, check out our NBA Prop Bets generator to find yourself today's best plays.

NBA Prop Bets Tuesday

PLAYER	BET	EDGE
Kevin Durant	o5.5 Assists (+122)	12.9%
Kevin Durant	o28.5 Points (-102)	8.3%
Cameron Payne	o7.5 Assists (+114)	10.9%
Deandre Ayton	o9.5 Rebs (+106)	8.6%
Dillon Brooks	o2.5 3-Pts (+112)	6.3%

NBA First Basket Predictions For Tuesday

In recent times, NBA first basket bets have become one of the more popular prop bets for sports bettors to wager on. All of the major sportsbooks offer NBA odds on first basket scorer, so by using our predictive analytics model to identify where the edges lie on Tuesday, November 22, you're giving yourself an advantage over the rest of the field.

Our super computer identifies both value bets and the players with the highest probabilities. While all the usual suspects will often feature in our NBA first basket predictions, it is unlikely you will ever see the likes of Steph Curry, Kevin Durant, Jason Tatum or Giannis listed as 'value bets' because the odds the sportsbooks put up for those guys are always extremely efficient - and that's where we come in.

FIRST BASKET PREDICTIONS	PROBABILITY
Anthony Davis (LAL)	15.58% chance
De'Aaron Fox (SAC)	15.03% chance
LeBron James (LAL)	14.80% chance
Kevin Durant (BRO)	14.38% chance
Shake Milton (PHI)	13.99% chance

NBA First Basket Bets Today

Based on the above first basket scorer probabilities, the players listed below represent the most value to score the first basket in NBA games on Tuesday, November 22, 2022. While it's obviously impossible for all of these guys to cash tickets for us, we actually don't need them to.

Given some of the first basket odds available, we'd only need one or two of these to hit for us to earn a nice payout.

While the sportsbooks focus on the top two or three guys from each game, we're able to evaluate every player, in every game, to unearth the edges that will give us the upper hand when it comes to long-term profitability.

Remember, the key to long term success when betting is being able to identify where there is an edge in the market, in other words, when the sportsbooks' odds aren't a true reflection of the actual likelihood of something happening.

FIRST BASKET BETS	PROBABILITY	DRAFTKINGS ODDS
De'Aaron Fox (SAC)	15.03%	+850
Cameron Payne (PHX)	11.32%	+1300
Kevin Huerter (SAC)	9.61%	+1400
Shake Milton (PHI)	13.99%	+800
De'Anthony Melton (PHI)	11.83%	+1000