The Best NBA Player Props & First Basket Bets For Friday

We've dived deep into our predictive analytics model, otherwise known as DimersBOT, to identify the best odds and betting opportunities, plus the best NBA player props and first basket predictions for Friday November 18, 2022. Using the world renowned Monte Carlo method, we have simulated every major pro and college sport over 10,000 times to produce NBA predictions that paint the clearest picture of what is likely to occur in any given game, and which players will contribute to those predictions either hitting or missing. We then use these suggested NBA prop bets and match them against the sportsbooks' odds to identify where we have a betting edge, and where we believe the odds makers have got it wrong in their assessment of an NBA matchup.

Using the Total Points, Rebounds, Assists, Three-Pointers, Blocks, Steals, Turnovers and First Basket player prop markets, and then matching them against the results of our simulations, gives us a massive opportunity to identify the best player prop bets for Friday, with the biggest edges, to throw our cash down on today.

For NBA prop bets from EVERY game being played today, check out our NBA Prop Bets generator to find yourself today's best plays.

NBA Player Props Friday

Suns vs. Jazz

BET: Mike Conley Under 6.5 Total Assists (+120)

DimersBOT has Conley dishing just 5.4 dimes against the Suns tonight so, at odds of +120, betting his Under 6.5 assists gives us a nice edge of 10.6%. We need to place this bet at PointsBet, where new PointsBet customers can score 5x $100 risk-free bets by joining today right here.

Thunder vs. Grizzlies

BET: Steven Adams Over 9.5 Total Rebounds (-135)

We love Adams to get at least 10 boards (we have him down for 13.1) tonight against the Thunder, so with odds of -135 available we should bet his Over 9.5 rebounds line with DraftKings Sportsbook where we have a 10.3% edge. You can register a DraftKings account here and score $200 in bonuses from a $5 money line bet.

Knicks vs. Warriors

BET: Stephen Curry Over 4.5 3-Pointers Made (+100)

Our predictive analytics model has Steph down for 5.6 triples tonight against the Knicks, so his odds of +100 look very tasty indeed. We should bet his Over 4.5 threes line with at PointsBet, where we have a 9.6% edge. New PointsBet customers can score 5x $100 risk-free bets by joining today right here.

Celtics vs. Pelicans

BET: Jayson Tatum Under 6.5 Total Rebounds (+125)

In over 10,000 different simulations of the Celtics-Pelicans game, we have Tatum notching just 5.9 boards tonight so, at odds of +125, betting his Under 6.5 rebounds gives us a tempting edge of 9.0% with PointsBet, where new customers can score those 5x $100 risk-free bets here.

Nuggets vs. Mavericks

BET: Luka Doncic Over 32.5 Points Scored (-105)

Our predictive analytics model has Luka down for 36.9 points tonight against the Nuggets, so his odds of -105 look very tasty indeed and give us a 7.7% edge. We should bet his Over 32.5 points line with DraftKings Sportsbook, where new users get $200 in bonuses from a $5 money line bet. Claim it here.

For NBA prop bets from EVERY game being played today, check out our NBA Prop Bets generator to find yourself today's best plays.

NBA Prop Bets Today

PLAYER	BET	EDGE
Mike Conley	Under 6.5 Total Assists (+120)	10.6%
Steven Adams	Over 9.5 Total Rebounds (-135)	10.3%
Stephen Curry	o4.5 3-Pts (+100)	9.6%
Jayson Tatum	Under 6.5 Total Rebounds (+125)	9.0%
Luka Doncic	Over 32.5 Points Scored (-105)	7.7%

NBA First Basket Predictions For Friday

In recent times, NBA first basket bets have become one of the more popular prop bets for sports bettors to wager on. All of the major sportsbooks offer NBA odds on first basket scorer, so by using our predictive analytics model to identify where the edges lie on Friday, November 18, you're giving yourself an advantage over the rest of the field.

Our super computer identifies both value bets and the players with the highest probabilities. While all the usual suspects will often feature in our NBA first basket predictions, it is unlikely you will ever see the likes of Steph Curry, Kevin Durant, Jason Tatum or Giannis listed as 'value bets' because the odds the sportsbooks put up for those guys are always extremely efficient - and that's where we come in.

FIRST BASKET PREDICTIONS	PROBABILITY
Stephen Curry (GS)	17.83% chance
S.Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC)	16.55% chance
Joel Embiid (PHI)	16.51% chance
Ja Morant (MEM)	16.43% chance
Spencer Dinwiddie (DAL)	16.14% chance

NBA First Basket Bets Today

Based on the above first basket scorer probabilities, the players listed below represent the most value to score the first basket in NBA games on Friday, November 18, 2022. While it's obviously impossible for all of these guys to cash tickets for us, we actually don't need them to.

Given some of the first basket odds available, we'd only need one or two of these to hit for us to earn a nice payout.

While the sportsbooks focus on the top two or three guys from each game, we're able to evaluate every player, in every game, to unearth the edges that will give us the upper hand when it comes to long-term profitability.

Remember, the key to long term success when betting is being able to identify where there is an edge in the market, in other words, when the sportsbooks' odds aren't a true reflection of the actual likelihood of something happening.

FIRST BASKET BETS	PROBABILITY	DRAFTKINGS ODDS
S.Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC)	16.55%	+600
Bam Adebayo (MIA)	14.48%	+700
Jalen Brunson (NYK)	13.32%	+800
Tyrese Maxey (PHI)	13.2%	+850
Alperen Sengun (HOU)	12.81%	+800