NBA Props: Three Ways to Bet Jimmy Butler vs. Knicks in Game 1

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua
NBA Props: Three Ways to Bet Jimmy Butler vs. Knicks in Game 1

With the second round of the NBA playoffs now underway, all eyes will be on Madison Square Garden in New York on Sunday afternoon as one of the emerging stories of the postseason continues with the Miami Heat's Jimmy Butler in store for yet another big game, according to our NBA predictions model.

Take a look at how we're betting Butler today in Heat vs. Knicks.

RELATED: NBA player prop predictions for tonight

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Jimmy Butler Prop Prediction vs. Knicks in Game 1

In case you're not completely caught up on what Jimmy Butler has done so far these playoffs, let us get you up to speed.

The Miami forward has added to his playoff legend over the past two weeks, leading his seven-seed Heat to a round one victory over the second-seed and former champions, the Milwaukee Bucks. And he did it in five games. FIVE.

Butler delivered averages of 37.6 points, 6 rebounds and 4.8 assists in the series, including shooting splits of 59.7% from the field and 44.4% from three.

According to our predictive analytics model at Dimers.com, Jimmy is due for another monster performance in the opening game of Miami's second round series against the Knicks, with projections of 31 points, 6 rebounds and 6 assists, compared to the sportsbook betting lines set by FanDuel Sportsbook, which has set the Over/Under for Butler's points at 30.5, rebounds at 6.5, and assists at 5.5.

Another big night for the 33-year-old is expected at this point, such has been his dominance through the opening five games of the 2023 playoffs.

Jimmy Butler's Last Five Playoff Games:

  • vs. Bucks, April 26: 42 points, 8 rebounds, 4 assists
  • vs. Bucks, April 24: 56 points, 9 rebounds, 2 assists
  • vs. Bucks, April 22: 30 points, 5 rebounds, 4 assists
  • vs. Bucks, April 19: 25 points, 3 rebounds, 3 assists
  • vs. Bucks, April 16: 35 points, 5 rebounds, 11 assists

Looking back through Butler's recent games against the Knicks, and it's been a mixed bag with some really impressive performances followed up with some disappointment.

Jimmy Butler's Last Three Games vs. Knicks:

  • vs. Knicks, March 29: 12 points, 3 rebounds, 6 assists
  • vs. Knicks, March 22: 35 points, 4 rebounds, 9 assists
  • vs. Knicks, March 3: 33 points, 8 rebounds, 5 assists

RELATED: NBA Best Bets for Sunday

How to Bet Butler in Game 1

It goes without saying given his form these playoffs, but the DimersBOT is giving you the green light to bet the Over Butler's points total.

With a projected total of 31 points, our predictions model says that betting the Over 30.5 points market is a go.

 

Whilst also rocking a 33.3% usage rate, leading all Heat players in these playoffs, don't be afraid to bet Butler to go over his assist total either, according to our projections. The Knicks will no doubt be preparing to try and minimize his scoring potential which could lead to more double teaming on plays and more kick outs to open teammates. We're taking the Over 5.5 Assists here, too.

 

For those of you looking for a little more value, parlaying these bets can deliver some juicer odds.

1️⃣ Over 30.5 Points
2️⃣ Over 5.5 Assists

 

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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