NBA Props Parlay For Monday, December 5, 2022

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Written by Zachary Cohen
NBA Props Parlay For Monday, December 5, 2022

Our model has some stronger edges than usual tonight, so our Monday night NBA player props parlay is shaping up to be a good one. 

It's Monday, December 5, 2022, and, as always, we've simulated all of the night's NBA games 10,000 times each to determine where the value lies for basketball player prop bettors across the United States. 

 

NBA Props Parlay For Monday

Our player props parlay for Monday is one in which we're banking on good players like Jrue Holiday, Dejounte Murray and Fred VanVleet to come through for us. 

PARLAY PICKS ODDS

Jrue Holiday Over 2.5 Made Threes

+155

Dejounte Murray Over 1.5 Steals

+120

Fred VanVleet Over 2.5 Made Threes

-125

Monday NBA Props Parlay Picks

LEG 1: Jrue Holiday Over 2.5 Threes (+155) with DraftKings

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Orlando Magic, 7:00PM ET

Our predictive analytics model loves Holiday to hit at least three triples against the Magic tonight, as there's an edge of 18.7% on this one. Considering anything over 10% is pretty strong, it just goes to show you how much our model likes this one.

In 10,000 simulations of the game, Holiday averaged 3.2 threes per game and we just think there's a great chance he'll hit at least three here. He's also coming off a game in which he hit six threes against the Lakers, so he has to be feeling good about his jumper right now. 


LEG 2: Dejounte Murray Over 1.5 Steals (+120) with DraftKings

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Atlanta Hawks, 7:30PM ET

Murray is averaging 1.8 steals per game on the season, so it's interesting to see him at plus-money to have two or more steals when he is doing that more regularly than not this year. Murray also happens to be due for a few in this game, as he has none against the Nuggets in his last game — a 117-109 loss to the Nuggets on Friday. 

Our model actually had Murray averaging 2.4 steals per game in the 10,000 simulations of this one, giving it an edge of 17.0%. Let's take this one and not think twice about it.  


LEG 3: Fred VanVleet Over 2.5 Threes (-125) with DraftKings

Boston Celtics vs. Toronto Raptors, 7:30PM ET

Our only play that isn't plus-money tonight features us looking for three made threes out of Fred VanVleet. DimersBOT has him projected for 3.7 made threes in tonight's meeting with the Celtics, and we agree that there's a good shot he ends up hitting three or four, at least. 

Boston isn't an easy team to play against, but VanVleet is an absolute gamer. He plays his best ball in the biggest matchups and we think he'll show up in a big way in this game. 

 

Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on for every basketball game on Monday via our NBA Bet Hub, where we deliver you NBA predictions and suggested bets, or check out the NBA Betting News section.

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Written by
Zachary Cohen

Zachary Cohen, a University of Wisconsin graduate, has written about betting and fantasy sports for prominent outlets like Covers, Sports Illustrated, Forbes Sports, Tennis Channel, and FOX Bet, with a strong focus on the NBA and college athletics.

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