Four Plus-Money Ways to Bet on Knicks vs. Pacers Game 6

Now that we're into the second round of the NBA Playoffs, we're seeing at most two matchups per day. With the smaller slates and focused games, the books have been rolling out expanded betting markets, especially on player props that can offer lucrative plus-money opportunities.

The games in this round have seen wild variance, with most teams trading blowouts rather than grinding out close wins and it's resulted in some wild results. With the Pacers' backs against the wall here in Game 6, will we see a competitive game or another one decided by halftime?

We're going to dive into a few different markets for Game 6 of the New York Knicks vs. Indiana Pacers series with an eye on some plus-money ways to bet on this potential elimination game.

Our model has been running simulations on today's slate ever since lines became available and we are using that data to identify betting opportunities in the New York Knicks vs. Indiana Pacers game.

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Four Ways to Bet on Knicks vs. Pacers Game 6 - May 17, 2024

As mentioned, we are looking at the Game 6 matchup featuring the New York Knicks vs. Indiana Pacers.

You can find a dozen props with an edge, as well as prop projections for every player in this game with Dimers Pro, so if you're not keen on these wagers, use our data to find the play that's right for you!

The below odds are via FanDuel Sportsbook and are correct at time of publishing.

Bet #1 - Jalen Brunson 40+ Points (+270)

Jalen Brunson has only been the highest scorer twice in this series, but both those times included him putting up 43+ points. It took a blowout and a missed 2Q for him to miss it in two of the other games and pushing 40 points and up has been the norm for Brunson this postseason.

We project for 39.8 points tonight, just hitting this mark at +270 odds. There's value in his standard over of 34.5 at -105 on DraftKings, but with a 61% probability of going over, you can find an opportunity with 40+.

Full Game Projections: New York Knicks vs. Indiana Pacers Betting Preview

Bet #2 - Josh Hart 6+ Assists (+220)

You can go ahead and take Hart's Over 4.5 at +108 if you want a more conservative wager backed by our model, with DimersBOT giving Hart a 57.5% probability of going over that mark, good enough for a 12.1% edge in his odds. However, we project him for 5.8 assists tonight, getting us nearly double the odds for one more dime. Hart has hit this mark in four games this postseason, including the first two of this series, flirting with a triple double in those games, as well. Hart is averaging 4.8 AST against 7.6 potential assists in these playoffs so far.

Bet #3 - D. DiVincenzo & M. Turner 20+ Points Each (+485)

Both these players are projected for 20 points tonight and each gets an individual edge in their standalone prop. Donte DiVincenzo gets a 21.7 projection against his 16.5 points line with a 60.5% probability to go over according to our model. Myles Turner draws a 19.9-point projection over his 17.5 line with a 55.1% probability of clearing. Turner's three-point prop is our highest edge of the day, as well. DiVincenzo put up 25, 28 and 35 through the first three games before single-digit outing in Games 4 & 5, while Turner has hit 20 twice.

Bet #4 - Tyrese Haliburton to Score the First Basket (+900)

The final prop is a first-basket bet identified with a small edge of 1.5% from our model. While that seems slim, it's a notable difference when you look at the odds. Haliburton's odds of +900 imply a 10% probability while we give him an 11.5% probability, which translates to odds closer to +750. 

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