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NBA Playoffs Betting: Our Dallas Mavericks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Game 2 Betting Strategy
The Conference Finals of the NBA playoffs are underway and we've seen some great action so far. A Mavericks Game 1 domination and the Pacers nearly stealing the opening contest form the Celtics set the tone for these battles.
The Western Conference Finals resume tonight with the Dallas Mavericks and Minnesota Timberwolves, with the T-Wolves looking to bounce back and even up the series.
By using our boxscore projections, we're going to dive into a few different markets for Game 2 of the Dallas Mavericks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves series.
Our model has been running simulations on today's slate ever since lines became available and we are using that data to identify betting opportunities in the Dallas Mavericks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves game.
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Four Ways to Bet on Mavs-Timberwolves Game 2 - May 24, 2024
As mentioned, we are looking at the Game 2 matchup featuring the Dallas Mavericks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves.
You can find a dozen props with an edge, as well as prop projections for every player in this game with Dimers Pro, so if you're not keen on these wagers, use our data to find the play that's right for you!
Bet #1 - Luka Doncic to Record a Triple Double (+490 FanDuel)
A popular one from DimersBOT throughout the regular season, we're getting the longest odds yet for Luka to pick up a combo meal tonight. We're projecting him for 34 points, 10 rebounds and 11 assists tonight, presenting value in his standalone assists line and alternates. This would be his fourth triple double in his past five games, hitting three in a row before putting up 33/6/8 in Game 1 vs. the Wolves.
A little line reading shows you that his REB/AST lines are set at 8.5 each, yet Luka is -190 to get a double double, so one of those should really be at 9.5 per their own predictions. Let's back some vintage Luka in Game 2 tonight.
Bet #2 - Kyrie Irving Top Points Scorer (+500)
This one isn't 100% backed by the BOT but at +500, it's worth a look if you think Kyrie turns in another 30-piece. Kyrie is projected for the second-most points in this game, tied with Edwards for 28 behind Luka's 34. That's a decent gap, and while Kyrie has been content to play the clear No. 2, they finished three points apart in Game 1 and that was with Irving going 0-3 from deep. We're giving Kyrie a 60.2% probability of clearing his normal line.
Full Game Projections: Dallas Mavericks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview
Bet #3 - Karl-Anthony Towns Rebounds Leader (+500)
KAT has out-boarded Gobert twice head-to-head and tied him once in these playoffs, but has recorded double-digit rebounds in six contests, finishing one behind Gobert in a few as well. KAT is projected for 8 boards tonight, tied for third-most with Edwards ( who is +1700 and tied for the Game 1 lead). Gobert's line is 12.5 and juiced to the under, which we project with 12. Obviously that's above KAT, as is Luka's 10 rebounds, but that's why this is +500.
Bet #4 - Luka Doncic & Anthony Edwards Each First Team Scorer (+1012)
We've got one +EV play on its own in this game which you can read here but we're looking at a little two-leg parlay backed by DimersBOT's first basket probabilities. Anthony Edwards is our favorite to score firs tin this game but gets slightly better odds at +550 than the book's favorite, KAT. Ant gets a 14.8% probability from our model to score the first bucket in the game as a whole, and is +280 to score first for the Wolves, while Luka Doncic is our second most-likely first scorer in the game (and the highest for the Mavs) at 12.9% and at +200 for the team.
This was a hit in the ECF last night with Jaylen Brown and Pascal Siakam scoring first for their respective squads and offers a fun look for a little lotto ticket in Game 2 in the West. Consider our full probabilities to mix and match some other combos if you like.
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