NBA Player Props & Predictions For Monday December 5, 2022

We've dived deep into our predictive analytics model, otherwise known as DimersBOT, to identify the best odds and betting opportunities, plus the best NBA player props and first basket predictions for Monday December 5, 2022. Using the world renowned Monte Carlo method, we have simulated every major pro and college sport over 10,000 times to produce NBA predictions that paint the clearest picture of what is likely to occur in any given game, and which players will contribute to those predictions either hitting or missing. We then use these suggested NBA prop bets and match them against the sportsbooks' odds to identify where we have a betting edge, and where we believe the odds makers have got it wrong in their assessment of an NBA matchup.

Using the Total Points, Rebounds, Assists, Three-Pointers, Blocks, Steals, Turnovers and First Basket player prop markets, and then matching them against the results of our simulations, gives us a massive opportunity to identify the best player prop bets for Monday, with the biggest edges, to throw our cash down on today.

For NBA prop bets from EVERY game being played today, check out our NBA Prop Bets generator to find yourself today's best plays.

Sportsbooks Offers For Monday Player Prop Bets

As you're about to see, not all sportsbooks are the same. Some offer good odds and tempting lines for Player Props, and some don't. Your job is to make sure you're armed with funded sports book accounts for all the major players, so you can capitalize on the edges we identify in these player props articles.

Why is this important? Well, as you'll see below, our technology scans all the major sportsbooks to identify opportunities to take advantage of those instances where the oddsmakers get it wrong in assessing their player prop markets. And when the sportsbooks get it wrong, it means we can make some money betting on everything from assists, rebounds, total points, and even the number of 3-pointers made.

DraftKings Has Awesome Player Prop Markets

New users will get $150 in free bets when they place a $5 bet on any player prop bet. DraftKings is often the sportsbook with the best odds on player props here.

Bet on Player Props with Caesars Sportsbook

Caesar himself is offering new customers their first bet on him, up to $1250! If your first player prop bet loses, you will get your entire stake back to take another swing. On top of that, you can score Tier and Reward credits to use on a number of different things, such as hotel room and restaurants. Join Caesars Sportsbook here.

BetMGM is the King of Player Props

If you're yet to join BetMGM, then now is as good of a time as any. Get risk-free bet up to $1000 when you create an account and make your first deposit here.

NBA Player Props Monday

Bucks vs. Magic

BET: Jrue Holiday Over 6.5 Total Assists (+116)

DimersBOT has Holiday down for 8.3 dimes against the Magic tonight so, at odds of +116, betting his Over 6.5 assists gives us a nice edge of 13.8%. We need to place this bet with DraftKings Sportsbook, where new users get $150 in bonuses from a $5 money line bet. Claim it here.

Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 5.5 Total Assists (+125)

This 5.5 assists line for the Greek Freak is too low against the Magic tonight. We've projected him to get at least 6, so with plus money odds on offer, we should bet his Over with DraftKings Sportsbook also.

Thunder vs. Hawks

BET: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 6.5 Total Assists (+122)

We've got SGA down for 7.3 assists against Atlanta this evening, so this line of 6.5 is very appealing when it comes to betting his Over. At +122, and when compared to our numbers, the Over represents a big edge of 9.5% vs. the sportsbooks. To maximize this edge we should place this bet with DraftKings, where you can get that $150 bonus here from a $5 bet.

Trae Young Over 9.5 Total Assists (+100)

Following over 10,000 different simulations of Thunder vs. Hawks we have Trae dishing 11.0 dimes tonight, so with odds of +100 available we should bet his Over 9.5 assists line with Caesars Sportsbook where we have an 8.3% edge. You can register a Caesars account here and score a risk-free bet up to $1250, plus rewards credits to use on hotels and restaurants.

Suns vs. Mavericks

BET: Tim Hardaway Under 16.5 Points Scored (-104)

Our predictive analytics model has Hardaway down for just 12.4 points tonight against the Suns, so his odds of -104 look very tasty indeed. We should bet his Under 16.5 points line with at PointsBet, where we have a 7.3% edge. New PointsBet customers can score 5x $100 risk-free bets by joining today right here.

For NBA prop bets from EVERY game being played today, check out our NBA Prop Bets generator to find yourself today's best plays.

NBA Prop Bets Monday

PLAYER	BET	EDGE
Jrue Holiday	o6.5 Assists (+116)	13.8%
SGA	o6.5 Assists (+122)	9.5%
Trae Young	o9.5 Assists (+100)	8.3%
Tim Hardaway	u16.5 Points (-104)	7.3%
Giannis	o5.5 Assists (+125)	7.0%

NBA First Basket Props For Monday

In recent times, NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular prop bets for sports bettors to wager on. All of the major sportsbooks offer NBA odds on first basket scorer, so by using our predictive analytics model to identify where the edges lie on Monday, December 5, you're giving yourself an advantage over the rest of the field.

Our super computer identifies both value bets and the players with the highest probabilities. While all the usual suspects will often feature in our NBA first basket predictions in the table below, it is unlikely you will ever see the likes of Steph Curry, Kevin Durant, Jason Tatum or Giannis listed as 'value bets' because the odds the sportsbooks put up for those guys are always extremely efficient - and that's where we come in.

TO MAKE FIRST BASKET	PROBABILITY
Luka Doncic (DAL vs. PHO)	17.59% chance
Joel Embiid (PHI vs. HOU)	17.31% chance
G.Antetokounmpo (MIL vs. ORL)	17.10% chance
Devin Booker (PHO vs. DAL)	15.40% chance
Jaylen Brown (BOS vs. TOR)	15.23% chance

NBA First Basket Bets Today

Based on the above first basket scorer probabilities, the players listed below represent the most value to score the first basket in NBA games on Monday, December 5, 2022. While it's obviously impossible for all of these guys to cash tickets for us, we actually don't need them to.

Given some of the first basket odds available, we'd only need one or two of these to hit for us to earn a nice payout.

While the sportsbooks focus on the top two or three guys from each game, we're able to evaluate every player, in every game, to unearth the edges that will give us the upper hand when it comes to long-term profitability.

Remember, the key to long term success when betting is being able to identify where there is an edge in the market, in other words, when the sportsbooks' odds aren't a true reflection of the actual likelihood of something happening.

FIRST BASKET BETS	PROBABILITY	DRAFTKINGS ODDS
Kelly Oubre (LAC vs. CHA)	13.66%	+700
Alperen Sengun (PHI vs. HOU)	12.03%	+1000
Markelle Fultz (MIL vs. ORL)	11.16%	+950
Josh Giddey (OKC vs. ATL)	10.35%	+1000
AJ Griffin (OKC vs. ATL)	10.00%	+1100