NBA Player Props & Bets For Wednesday November 30, 2022

We've dived deep into our predictive analytics model, otherwise known as DimersBOT, to identify the best odds and betting opportunities, plus the best NBA player props and first basket predictions for Wednesday November 30, 2022. Using the world renowned Monte Carlo method, we have simulated every major pro and college sport over 10,000 times to produce NBA predictions that paint the clearest picture of what is likely to occur in any given game, and which players will contribute to those predictions either hitting or missing. We then use these suggested NBA prop bets and match them against the sportsbooks' odds to identify where we have a betting edge, and where we believe the odds makers have got it wrong in their assessment of an NBA matchup.

Using the Total Points, Rebounds, Assists, Three-Pointers, Blocks, Steals, Turnovers and First Basket player prop markets, and then matching them against the results of our simulations, gives us a massive opportunity to identify the best player prop bets for Wednesday, with the biggest edges, to throw our cash down on today.

For NBA prop bets from EVERY game being played today, check out our NBA Prop Bets generator to find yourself today's best plays.

The Best Sportsbooks For Player Prop Bets

As you're about to see, not all sportsbooks are the same. Some offer good odds and tempting lines, and some don't. Your job is to make sure you're armed with funded sports book accounts for all the major players, so you can capitalize on the edges we identify in these player props articles.

Why is this important? Well, as you'll see below, our technology scans all the major sportsbooks to identify opportunities to take advantage of those instances where the oddsmakers get it wrong. And when the sportsbooks get it wrong, it means we can make some money.

DraftKings Has Awesome Player Prop Markets

New users will get $150 in free bets when they place a $5 money line bet on any sport. DraftKings is often the sportsbook with the best odds on player props here.

Bet on Player Props with Caesars Sportsbook

Caesar himself is offering new customers their first bet on him, up to $1250! If it loses, you will get your entire stake back to take another swing. On top of that, you can score Tier and Reward credits to use on a number of different things, such as hotel room and restaurants. Join Caesars Sportsbook here.

BetMGM is the King of Player Props

If you're yet to join BetMGM, then now is as good of a time as any. Get risk-free bet up to $1000 when you create an account and make your first deposit here.

NBA Player Props Wednesday

Hawks vs. Magic

BET: Dejounte Murray Over 6.5 Total Assists (+110)

DimersBOT has Murray down for 9.1 dimes against the Magic tonight so, at odds of +110, betting his Over 6.5 assists gives us a nice edge of 16.5%. We need to place this bet with DraftKings Sportsbook, where new users get $150 in bonuses from a $5 money line bet. Claim it here.

BET: Trae Young Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made (-106)

We've got Trae down for 3.9 threes against Orlando this evening, so this line of 2.5 is very appealing when it comes to betting his Over. At -106, and compared to our numbers, the Over represents a big edge of 12.7% vs. the sportsbooks. To maximize this edge we should place this bet with DraftKings, where you can get that $150 bonus here from a $5 bet.

76ers vs. Cavaliers

BET: Evan Mobley Under 10.5 Total Rebounds (+106)

We have Mobley down to get only 8.3 boards tonight against the Sixers, so with odds of +106 available we should bet his Under 10.5 rebounds line with Caesars Sportsbook where we have an 13.7% edge. You can register a Caesars account here and score a risk-free bet up to $1250, plus rewards credits to use on hotels and restaurants.

Pacers vs. Kings

BET: Buddy Hield Over 3.5 3-Pointers Made (+135)

In over 10,000 different simulations of this Pacers-Kings game, we have Hield notching 4.1 threes tonight so, at odds of +135, betting his Over 3.5 3-pointers gives us a tempting edge of 13.7% with PointsBet, where new customers can score an amazing 5x $100 risk-free bets here.

Rockets vs. Nuggets

BET: Nikola Jokic Over 26.5 Points Scored (-105)

Our predictive analytics model has the Jokic down for 33.8 points tonight against the Rockets, so his odds of -105 look very tasty indeed. We should bet his Over 26.5 points line with at PointsBet, where we have a 12.5% edge. New PointsBet customers can score 5x $100 risk-free bets by joining today right here.

For NBA prop bets from EVERY game being played today, check out our NBA Prop Bets generator to find yourself today's best plays.

NBA Prop Bets Wednesday

PLAYER	BET	EDGE
Dejounte Murray	o6.5 Assists (+110)	16.5%
Evan Mobley	u10.5 Rebs (+106)	13.7%
Buddy Hield	o3.5 3-Pts (+135)	13.7%
Trae Young	o2.5 3-Pts (-106)	12.7%
Nikola Jokic	o26.5 Points(-105)	12.5%

NBA First Basket Props For Wednesday

In recent times, NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular prop bets for sports bettors to wager on. All of the major sportsbooks offer NBA odds on first basket scorer, so by using our predictive analytics model to identify where the edges lie on Wednesday, November 30, you're giving yourself an advantage over the rest of the field.

Our super computer identifies both value bets and the players with the highest probabilities. While all the usual suspects will often feature in our NBA first basket predictions in the table below, it is unlikely you will ever see the likes of Steph Curry, Kevin Durant, Jason Tatum or Giannis listed as 'value bets' because the odds the sportsbooks put up for those guys are always extremely efficient - and that's where we come in.

TO MAKE FIRST BASKET	PROBABILITY
Joel Embiid (PHI vs. CLE)	16.96% chance
Anthony Davis (LAL vs. POR)	16.23% chance
Donovan Mitchell (CLE vs. PHI)	16.10% chance
G. Antetokounmpo (MIL vs. NYK)	15.90% chance
De'Aaron Fox (SAC vs. IND)	14.96% chance

NBA First Basket Bets Today

Based on the above first basket scorer probabilities, the players listed below represent the most value to score the first basket in NBA games on Wednesday, November 30, 2022. While it's obviously impossible for all of these guys to cash tickets for us, we actually don't need them to.

Given some of the first basket odds available, we'd only need one or two of these to hit for us to earn a nice payout.

While the sportsbooks focus on the top two or three guys from each game, we're able to evaluate every player, in every game, to unearth the edges that will give us the upper hand when it comes to long-term profitability.

Remember, the key to long term success when betting is being able to identify where there is an edge in the market, in other words, when the sportsbooks' odds aren't a true reflection of the actual likelihood of something happening.

FIRST BASKET BETS	PROBABILITY	DRAFTKINGS ODDS
De'Aaron Fox (SAC vs. IND)	14.96%	+650
DeMar DeRozan (CHI vs. PHX)	14.70%	+750
Jalen Brunson (NYK vs. MIL)	13.89%	+750
Anfernee Simons (POR vs. LAL)	12.91%	+750
Anthony Edwards (MIN vs. MEM)	12.84%	+750