NBA Player Props & Bets For Monday November 28, 2022

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Written by Nick Slade
NBA Player Props & Bets For Monday November 28, 2022

We've dived deep into our predictive analytics model, otherwise known as DimersBOT, to identify the best odds and betting opportunities, plus the best NBA player props and first basket predictions for Monday November 28, 2022. Using the world renowned Monte Carlo method, we have simulated every major pro and college sport over 10,000 times to produce NBA predictions that paint the clearest picture of what is likely to occur in any given game, and which players will contribute to those predictions either hitting or missing. We then use these suggested NBA prop bets and match them against the sportsbooks' odds to identify where we have a betting edge, and where we believe the odds makers have got it wrong in their assessment of an NBA matchup.

Using the Total Points, Rebounds, Assists, Three-Pointers, Blocks, Steals, Turnovers and First Basket player prop markets, and then matching them against the results of our simulations, gives us a massive opportunity to identify the best player prop bets for Monday, with the biggest edges, to throw our cash down on today.

For NBA prop bets from EVERY game being played today, check out our NBA Prop Bets generator to find yourself today's best plays.

The Best Sportsbooks For Player Prop Bets

As you're about to see, not all sportsbooks are the same. Some offer good odds, and some bad. Your job is to make sure you're armed with funded accounts for all the major players so you can capitalize on the edges we identify in these player props articles.

Why is this important? Well, as you'll see below, our technology scans all the major sportsbooks to identify opportunities to take advantage of those instances where the oddsmakers get it wrong. And when the sportsbooks get it wrong, it means we can make some money.

DraftKings Has Awesome Player Prop Markets

New users will get $150 in free bets when they place a $5 money line bet on any sport. DraftKings is often the sportsbook with the best odds on player props here.

DraftKings Bet $5, Win $150

Bet on Player Props with Caesars Sportsbook

Caesar himself is offering new customers their first bet on him, up to $1250! If it loses, you will get your entire stake back to take another swing. On top of that, you can score Tier and Reward credits to use on a number of different things, such as hotel room and restaurants. Join Caesars Sportsbook here.

Caesars Sportsbook $1250 risk-free bet

BetMGM is the King of Player Props

If you're yet to join BetMGM, then now is as good of a time as any. Get risk-free bet up to $1000 when you create an account and make your first deposit here.

BetMGM Risk-free bet up to $1000

NBA Player Props Monday

Rockets vs. Nuggets

BET: Nikola Jokic Over 12.5 Total Rebounds (+130)

DimersBOT has Jokic down for 14.2 boards against the Rockets tonight so, at odds of +130, betting his Over 12.5 rebounds gives us a nice edge of 16.2%. We need to place this bet at PointsBet, where new PointsBet customers can score 5x $100 risk-free bets by joining today right here.

BET: Nikola Jokic Over 25.5 Points Scored (-113)

Our predictive analytics model also has him down for 34.2 points tonight, so his odds of -113 look very tasty indeed and give us a 12.1% edge. We should bet his Over 25.5 points line with DraftKings Sportsbook, where new users get $150 in bonuses from a $5 money line bet. Claim it here.

Suns vs. Kings

BET: Domantas Sabonis Under 11.5 Total Rebounds (+110)

We have Sabonis down to get only 9.9 boards tonight against the Suns, so with odds of +110 available we should bet his Under 11.5 rebounds line with DraftKings Sportsbook where we have an 11.2% edge. You can register a DraftKings account here and score $200 in bonuses from a $5 money line bet.

BET: Devin Booker Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made (+114)

In over 10,000 different simulations of the Suns-Kings game, we have Book notching 3.2 threes tonight so, at odds of +114, betting his Over 2.5 3-pointers gives us a tempting edge of 10.5% with PointsBet, where new customers can score those 5x $100 risk-free bets here.

Thunder vs. Pelicans

BET: Josh Giddey Over 6.5 Total Assists (+120)

Our predictive analytics model has the Australian Giddey down for 7.5 dimes tonight against the Pelicans, so his odds of +120 look very tasty indeed. We should bet his Over 6.5 assists line with at PointsBet, where we have a 10.2% edge. New PointsBet customers can score 5x $100 risk-free bets by joining today right here.

For NBA prop bets from EVERY game being played today, check out our NBA Prop Bets generator to find yourself today's best plays.

NBA Prop Bets Tuesday

PLAYER BET EDGE
Nikola Jokic
o12.5 Rebs (+130) 14.2%
Nikola Jokic
o25.5 Points (+113) 12.1%
Domantas Sabonis
u11.5 Rebs (+110) 11.2%
Devin Booker
o2.5 3-Pts (+114) 10.5%
Josh Giddey o6.5 Assists (+120) 10.2%

NBA First Basket Props For Monday

In recent times, NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular prop bets for sports bettors to wager on. All of the major sportsbooks offer NBA odds on first basket scorer, so by using our predictive analytics model to identify where the edges lie on Monday, November 28, you're giving yourself an advantage over the rest of the field.

Our super computer identifies both value bets and the players with the highest probabilities. While all the usual suspects will often feature in our NBA first basket predictions, it is unlikely you will ever see the likes of Steph Curry, Kevin Durant, Jason Tatum or Giannis listed as 'value bets' because the odds the sportsbooks put up for those guys are always extremely efficient - and that's where we come in.

FIRST BASKET PREDICTIONS PROBABILITY
Joel Embiid (PHI) 17.68% chance
De'Aaron Fox (SAC) 15.77% chance
Donovan Mitchell (CLE)
DeMar DeRozan (CHI)  15.01% chance
Jaylen Brown (BOS) 14.97% chance

NBA First Basket Bets Today

Based on the above first basket scorer probabilities, the players listed below represent the most value to score the first basket in NBA games on Monday, November 28, 2022. While it's obviously impossible for all of these guys to cash tickets for us, we actually don't need them to.

Given some of the first basket odds available, we'd only need one or two of these to hit for us to earn a nice payout.

While the sportsbooks focus on the top two or three guys from each game, we're able to evaluate every player, in every game, to unearth the edges that will give us the upper hand when it comes to long-term profitability.

Remember, the key to long term success when betting is being able to identify where there is an edge in the market, in other words, when the sportsbooks' odds aren't a true reflection of the actual likelihood of something happening.

FIRST BASKET BETS PROBABILITY DRAFTKINGS ODDS
De'Aaron Fox (SAC) 15.77% +800
Kelly Oubre (Hornets)  13.86% +750
Myles Turner (Pacers) 13.37% +750
Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers) 11.67% +850
Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)  11.42% +900
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Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers and Stats Insider, and specializes in soccer, NBA and NHL betting.

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