NBA Futures: Best Bets to Win the 2024 NBA Finals

With the NBA season nearly here, we have identified the three Best Bets to make to win the 2024 NBA championship. It's a great time to be an NBA fan and an NBA bettor, with our NBA best bets to find value in underdogs and totals, our best NBA player props which saw success all season long last year, and our best primetime parlay picks.

You can even look ahead with our NBA Finals odds and the divisional and conference races. Every week teams see their odds rise and fall based on their results and the results around the league. At Dimers, we thrive in this space with our free sports picks, sifting through our model’s latest probabilities and comparing them to the best odds available, always looking for the best value in a mispriced team.

Check out every best bet in the NBA season here.

Who Will Win the NBA Championship?

Currently, the Milwaukee Bucks are the most likely NBA champion according to our model with a 21.7% probability and their odds set at +400 on FanDuel Sportsbook. The teams with the next highest probabilities are the Boston Celtics at 18.6%  and the Denver Nuggets at 14.0%. No other team has a probability higher than 10%.

Below, you will find five futures bets that currently have value before the NBA season begins. Some may be chalk and some may surprise you but they all have value with our DimersBOT model projecting a higher probability for each than what is implied by the books’ odds.

Before we get started, you should check out our best Sportsbooks page, where you'll find a detailed review of every sportsbook in your state, as well as the best promotional offers currently available.

For example, did you know that at Bet365, new users who bet $5, will get $150 in Bonus Bets! Just sign up here, deposit and bet at least $5 and instantly get your $150 bonus reward. There's no better way to pad your bankroll this season. You could even choose one of these bets below!

Which NBA Futures Bets Should You Make?

Denver Nuggets to win the NBA Finals - +550 on FanDuel

This should shock absolutely nobody, but the reigning champion Denver Nuggets are still the team to beat in the NBA. Back is superstar center Nikola Jokic, alongside a now-healthy Jamal Murray and a blossoming group of role players highlighted by Aaron Gordon and Michael Porter Jr. As other superstars age their way out of the league (looking at you LeBron James and Stephen Curry), the Nuggets should only get stronger and our model agrees.

The Nuggets get a 14% probability from DimersBOT. We'll take that!

Golden State Warriors to win the NBA Finals - +1400 on FanDuel

While we just mentioned Stephen Curry, it's the rest of his aging core that Warriors fans should be worried about. Klay Thompson's availability continues to decline, and no matter how much Draymond Green holds tequila for LeBron James, there's no doubting that the Warriors are getting older. That's evidenced even more by the addition of Chris Paul. But while there are durability concerns - some veteran additions could be just what Golden State needs. Rather than trying to merge timelines and cater to their youth, the Warriors are all-in on winning now again, and DimersBOT is giving them a real shot.

DimersBOT projects Golden State with a 6.6% chance to win the NBA Finals, which is incredible value.

Los Angeles Lakers to win the NBA Finals - +1300 on FanDuel

We'll recommend one final longshot - and this time we are staying in California but turning toward the Los Angeles Lakers. Betting against the King is never a wise move, but there's reason to believe there could be a positive turn thanks to the pieces around him this year. Anthony Davis is back healthy, and with some younger players like Max Christie primed to take a step forward, this should be a more complete roster alongside LeBron James and one that gives him a great chance to compete again in the West. 

While the Nuggets are still the team to beat across the league, and the Warriors are the best value longshot, there's still a small edge on the purple and gold. Our model gives the Lakers a 6.0% probability from our model to win the NBA Finals.

Please remember to enjoy gambling responsibly. Responsible gambling means setting limits, staying in control, and understanding that luck is just part of the game. Make informed choices, set a budget, and know when to take a break. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.