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NBA First Basket Value Bets For Friday October 28, 2022
Our sophisticated predictive analytics model is able to identify the best NBA first basket value bets for Friday October 28, 2022. Based upon the globally respected Monte Carlo Simulator method, we have have analyzed every NBA game today by simulating each of them over 10,000 times to find NBA first basket value plays. We are able to identify these opportunities by matching our results against the sportsbooks' odds to learn where we have a betting edge, and where we believe the odds makers have got it wrong in their assessment of an NBA matchup.
Using NBA First Basket prop markets across multiple platforms, we compare the results of our simulations to the sportsbooks' odds, allowing us to identify the NBA players that present the most value to score the first basket of the game.
As an NBA bettor, BetMGM is the sportsbook for you. Over at BetMGM Sportsbook new users will score $200 in free bets from a $10 bet when there's a 3-pointer in the game they bet on. Register an account today, right here.
Friday NBA First Basket Bet
In recent times, NBA first basket bets have become one of the more popular prop bets for sports bettors to wager on. All of the major sportsbooks offer NBA odds on first basket scorer, so by using our predictive analytics model to identify where the edges lie, you're giving yourself an advantage over the rest of the field.
Our super computer identifies value bets, often with low probabilities, but significant edges. It is unlikely you will ever see the likes of Steph Curry, Kevin Durant, Jason Tatum or Giannis listed in these value plays because the odds the sportsbooks put up for them are always extremely efficient - and that's where we come in.
While the sportsbooks focus on the top two or three guys from each game, we're able to evaluate every player, in every game, to unearth the edges that will give us the upper hand when it comes to long-term profitability.
NBA First Basket: Friday Value Bets
The players that present the most value to score the first basket in NBA games on Friday night. While it's impossible for all of these guys to cash tickets for us, we actually don't need them to.
Given some of the first basket odds available, we'd only need one or two of these to hit for us to break even.
Remember, the key to long term success when betting is being able to identify where there is an edge in the market, in other words, when the sportsbooks' odds aren't a true reflection of the actual likelihood of something happening.
We suggest taking advantage of BetMGM's Bet $10, Win $200 when there's a 3-pointer offer.
| VALUE PLAYERS | PROBABILITY | ODDS |
| Franz Wagner (Magic) | 13.64% | +950 |
| Jalen Smith (Pacers) | 12.86% | +1000 |
| Terrence Ross (Magic) | 10.11% | +1400 |
| Marcus Smart (Celtics) | 8.08% | +2000 |
| Monte Morris (Wizards) | 7.87% | +2000 |
| Jalen Brunson (Knicks) | 12.09% | +1000 |
| Kelly Oubre (Hornets) | 13.01% | +850 |
| Evan Fournier (Knicks) | 8.73% | +1500 |
| Jaden McDaniels (T-Wolves) | 8.02% | +1600 |
| Isaiah Stewart (Pistons) | 7.29% | +1800 |
| Damian Jones (Lakers) | 10.23% | +1100 |
| Dean Wade (Cavaliers) | 6.89% | +1900 |
| Jalen Green (Rockets) | 14.92% | +650 |
| Caldwell-Pope (Nuggets) | 9.27% | +1200 |
| James Harden (76ers) | 10.58% | +1000 |
| Chris Paul (Suns) | 7.37% | +1600 |
| Zion Williamson (Pelicans) | 15.76% | +600 |
| Anthony Edwards (T-Wolves) | 13.19% | +750 |
| Mitchell Robinson (Knicks) | 7.55% | +1500 |
| Deni Avdija (Wizards) | 7.78% | +1400 |
| Nassir Little (Trail Blazers) | 8.25% | +1300 |
As an NBA bettor, BetMGM is the sportsbook for you. Over at BetMGM Sportsbook new users will score $200 in free bets from a $10 bet when there's a 3-pointer in the game they bet on. Register an account today, right here.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers and Stats Insider, and specializes in soccer, NBA and NHL betting.
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