NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Wednesday 5/3/23

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Written by Kevin Hansen
NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Wednesday 5/3/23

It's time for a big day of NBA Playoffs basketball, and we've run thousands of simulations to find the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Wednesday May 3, 2023.

NBA first basket props are one of the most popular options for sports fans to bet on, and by using Wednesday's projections below, you can gain an edge over other bettors.

 

All of the top sportsbooks across the country offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, and by utilizing our high-tech machine learning and data, Dimers.com has identified where to find the best value on Wednesday 5/3.

Wednesday's NBA Playoffs action is set to feature players such as Joel Embiid, Jaylen Brown, and Jayson Tatum, each with a high chance of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

Here, we will provide you with a list of players that our analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on May 3.

MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times

Best NBA First Basket Scorer Prop Bets - Wednesday 5/3/23

After simulating today's NBA Playoffs action thousands of times, our trusted predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has discovered the best NBA first basket betting picks for Wednesday.

Marcus Smart To Score First Basket (+1300)

  • Odds: +1300 via FanDuel Sportsbook
  • Edge: 2.2%
  • Probability: 9.3%
  • Game: 76ers vs. Celtics (8:00PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today, which is in the game between the 76ers and Celtics. The bet is on Marcus Smart (BOS) at odds of +1300 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 2.2%.

 

The next two recommended plays are for Tobias Harris (2.1% edge) to score first in the 76ers vs. Celtics game, and Derrick White (1.5%) to score the first basket, also in the 76ers-Celtics matchup.

Tobias Harris To Score First Basket (+1100)

  • Odds: +1100 via FanDuel Sportsbook
  • Edge: 2.1%
  • Probability: 10.4%
  • Game: 76ers vs. Celtics (8:00PM ET)

The next best NBA first basket bet for Wednesday comes in the 76ers vs. Celtics game, where our model has found an edge of 2.1% on Tobias Harris (PHI) at odds of +1100 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

 

Derrick White To Score First Basket (+1300)

  • Odds: +1300 via FanDuel Sportsbook
  • Edge: 1.5%
  • Probability: 8.6%
  • Game: 76ers vs. Celtics (8:00PM ET)

Our next best NBA first basket bet today comes in the 76ers vs. Celtics game, where our model has found an edge of 1.5% on Derrick White (BOS) at odds of +1300 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

 

Today's NBA First Basket Predictions - Wednesday May 3, 2023

As well as presenting the best NBA first basket bets today, Dimers.com has also found the most likely players to score the first basket on Wednesday.

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket today is Joel Embiid, with a probability of 14.8%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Jaylen Brown, with a 13.9% probability, and Jayson Tatum, with a 13.1% probability.

NBA First Basket Scorer Predictions Today - May 3, 2023

  • Joel Embiid (PHI): 14.8% probability
  • Jaylen Brown (BOS): 13.9% probability
  • Jayson Tatum (BOS): 13.1% probability
  • Tyrese Maxey (PHI): 11.4% probability
  • Tobias Harris (PHI): 10.4% probability
  • James Harden (PHI): 10.4% probability
  • Marcus Smart (BOS): 9.3% probability
  • Derrick White (BOS): 8.6% probability
  • Al Horford (BOS): 5.0% probability
  • P.J. Tucker (PHI): 3.1% probability

Remember, although this list shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Wednesday, it does not always mean they are suggested bets according to our predictive analytics model.

To increase your chances of winning, it's important to keep an eye on the best odds available.

MORE: NBA Props - Wednesday May 3, 2023

What Is an Edge in Betting?

The edge at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks - May 3, 2023

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks for Wednesday May 3 are made after 10,000 data-driven simulations per matchup, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket picks for sports betting, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More About NBA

After taking in our NBA first basket props, you're definitely going to want to check out the rest of our NBA prop picks for today.

Here, we have suggested plays for player points, rebounds, assists, 3-pointers, and more! Plus, with the ability to filter which of Wednesday's NBA matchups you want props for, there's no shortage of options when it comes to parlays and same-game parlays for today's hoops action.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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