NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Wednesday 1/31/2024

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Written by Kevin Hansen
NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Wednesday 1/31/2024

We have another action-packed day of NBA basketball upon us, and we've simulated every matchup 10,000 times to find the best NBA first basket predictions and odds for Wednesday, January 31, 2024.

Wednesday's NBA slate features players such as Victor Wembanyama, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Devin Booker, each with a high chance of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular options for basketball bettors to wager on, and by using Wednesday's data-backed NBA predictions below, you can gain an edge over other bettors.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our basketball model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on January 31.

The best online sportsbooks offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, and by utilizing our cutting-edge computer power and analysis, Dimers.com has been able to identify where the best value can be found on Wednesday, 1/31.

These books include BetMGM, where new users can bet $5 on any of the below players to unlock $158 in bonus bets, even if he fails to open the scoring. Click ➡️ here ⬅️ to get started!.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: January 31, 2024

Thanks to simulating every one of Wednesday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team) First Basket Probability
Victor Wembanyama (Spurs) 17.1%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder) 16.6%
Devin Booker (Suns) 16.2%
Jamal Murray (Nuggets) 15.8%
Tim Hardaway (Mavericks) 15.7%
Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks) 15.6%
Karl-Anthony Towns (Timberwolves) 14.4%
Alperen Sengun (Rockets) 14.2%
Cam Thomas (Nets) 14.0%
Mikal Bridges (Nets) 13.1%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in any of today's games is Victor Wembanyama, with a probability of 17.1%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, with a 16.6% probability, and Devin Booker, with a 16.2% probability. Remember, although this list shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Wednesday, it does not always indicate they are recommended bets according to DimersBOT.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to look out for favorable odds.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Wednesday 1/31/2024

Having simulated the result of today's NBA matchups 10K times each, our independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has found the best NBA first basket betting picks for Wednesday.

1. Tim Hardaway To Score First Basket (+800)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Mavericks and Timberwolves. The bet is on Tim Hardaway (DAL) at odds of +800 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 4.6%.

The next two recommended bets are for Jaden Hardy (3.2% edge) to score first in the Mavericks vs. Timberwolves game and Jamal Murray (2.4%) to score the first basket in the Nuggets vs. Thunder matchup.

2. Jaden Hardy To Score First Basket (+1000)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today also comes in the Mavericks vs. Timberwolves game, where our model has found an edge of 3.2% on Jaden Hardy (DAL) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

3. Jamal Murray To Score First Basket (+650)

Our next NBA first basket bet today comes in the Nuggets vs. Thunder game, where our model has found an edge of 2.4% on Jamal Murray (DEN) at odds of +650 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

4. De'Aaron Fox To Score First Basket (+850)

The next best first basket bet for today's NBA action comes in the Kings vs. Heat game, where our model has found an edge of 1.4% on De'Aaron Fox (SAC) at odds of +850 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

5. Anfernee Simons To Score First Basket (+900)

Rounding out our top five NBA first basket bets for Wednesday is Anfernee Simons (POR) at odds of +900 in the Bucks vs. Trail Blazers game. Here, our model has found an edge of 1.1% with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: January 31, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for January 31, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket predictions for Wednesday, January 31, are made after thousands of data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket predictions for your personal gambling, it's crucial that you practice responsible gambling and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More About NBA

This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.

For more NBA betting content we have NBA trends for every game, as well as daily NBA betting news, the best NBA promos and the latest NBA title odds and predictions.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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