NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Wednesday 11/29/2023

It's time for a action-packed day of NBA action, and we've simulated each game thousands of times to find the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Wednesday, November 29, 2023.

NBA first basket props are one of the most popular options for sports fans to bet on, and by using Wednesday's data-driven projections below, you can gain an edge over everyone else.

All of the top sportsbooks in the country offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, and by utilizing our trusted machine learning and analysis, Dimers.com has identified where to find the best value on Wednesday, 11/29.

Wednesday's NBA games are expected to feature players such as Nikola Jokic, De'Aaron Fox, and Kevin Durant, each with a high chance of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on November 29.

MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times

Best First Basket Picks Today: Wednesday 11/29/2023

After simulating the outcome of today's NBA slate thousands of times, our predictive model has generated the best NBA first basket betting picks for Wednesday.

1. De'Aaron Fox To Score First Basket (+700)

• Odds: +700
• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 15.6%
• Matchup: Clippers vs. Kings (10:00PM EST)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Wednesday's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Clippers and Kings. The bet is on De'Aaron Fox (SAC) at odds of +700 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 3.1%.

The next two recommended bets are for Santi Aldama (2.3% edge) to score first in the Jazz vs. Grizzlies game and Alperen Sengun (0.9%) to score the first basket in the Rockets vs. Nuggets matchup.

2. Santi Aldama To Score First Basket (+850)

• Odds: +850
• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 12.8%
• Game: Jazz vs. Grizzlies (8:00PM EST)

The next best NBA first basket bet for Wednesday comes in the Jazz vs. Grizzlies game, where our model has found an edge of 2.3% on Santi Aldama (MEM) at odds of +850 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

3. Alperen Sengun To Score First Basket (+650)

• Odds: FanDuel Sportsbook+650
• Edge: 0.9%
• Probability: 14.3%
• Matchup: Rockets vs. Nuggets (9:00PM EST)

Our next NBA first basket bet today comes in the Rockets vs. Nuggets game, where our model has found an edge of 0.9% on Alperen Sengun (HOU) at odds of +650 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

4. Paul George To Score First Basket (+650)

• Odds: +650
• Edge: 0.6%
• Probability: 14%
• Game: Clippers vs. Kings (10:00PM EST)

The next best first basket bet for Wednesday's NBA action comes in the Clippers vs. Kings game, where our model has found an edge of 0.6% on Paul George (LAC) at odds of +650 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA First Basket Predictions: Wednesday, November 29, 2023

As well as providing you with the best NBA first basket bets today, Dimers.com has also identified the most likely players to score the first basket across all of Wednesday's games.

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in any of today's matchups is Nikola Jokic, with a probability of 17.8%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are De'Aaron Fox, with a 15.6% probability, and Kevin Durant, with a 15.3% probability.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: November 29, 2023

Thanks to simulating every one of Wednesday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)	17.8%
De'Aaron Fox (Kings)	15.6%
Kevin Durant (Suns)	15.3%
Alperen Sengun (Rockets)	14.3%
Devin Booker (Suns)	14.2%
Joel Embiid (76ers)	14.2%
Jordan Clarkson (Jazz)	14.1%
Paul George (Clippers)	14.0%
Desmond Bane (Grizzlies)	13.8%
Brandon Ingram (Pelicans)	13.2%

Remember, although this list shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Wednesday, it does not always indicate they are recommended bets according to our predictive analytics model.

To increase your chances of winning, it's important to look out for the best odds available.

MORE: NBA Props

Understanding Betting Edge

At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.

Tonight's NBA First Basket Picks: November 29, 2023

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks and predictions for Wednesday, November 29, are made thanks to rigorous data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket predictions for your personal gambling, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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