NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Wednesday 11/22/2023

Another big day of NBA action is on the menu, and we've simulated every matchup 10,000 times to find the most reliable NBA first basket picks for you on Wednesday, November 22, 2023.

NBA first basket props are one of the most popular options for sports fans to bet on, and by using Wednesday's data-backed predictions below, you can gain an edge over other bettors.

All of the best online sportsbooks throughout the nation offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, but pinpointing where the best value lies can be puzzling. That's where Dimers.com's state-of-the-art approach comes into play.

Wednesday's NBA slate is expected to feature star players such as Stephen Curry, LeBron James, and Luka Doncic, each with a high probability of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our predictive analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on November 22.

MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Wednesday 11/22/2023

Having simulated the outcome of today's NBA matchups thousands of times each, our independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has discovered the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Wednesday.

1. Jordan Clarkson To Score First Basket (+1200)

• Odds: +1200 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 6.7%
• Probability: 14.4%
• Matchup: Jazz vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM EST)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Jazz and Trail Blazers. The bet is on Jordan Clarkson (UTA) at odds of +1200 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 6.7%.

The next two recommended bets are for Stephen Curry (3.8% edge) to score first in the Warriors vs. Suns game and Kyrie Irving (1.5%) to score the first basket in the Mavericks vs. Lakers matchup.

2. Stephen Curry To Score First Basket (+700)

• Odds: +700 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 3.8%
• Probability: 16.3%
• Matchup: Warriors vs. Suns (10:00PM EST)

The next best NBA first basket bet for Wednesday comes in the Warriors vs. Suns game, where our model has found an edge of 3.8% on Stephen Curry (GSW) at odds of +700 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

3. Kyrie Irving To Score First Basket (+700)

• Odds: +700 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 1.5%
• Probability: 14%
• Matchup: Mavericks vs. Lakers (10:30PM EST)

Our next NBA first basket bet today comes in the Mavericks vs. Lakers game, where our model has found an edge of 1.5% on Kyrie Irving (DAL) at odds of +700 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

4. LeBron James To Score First Basket (+550)

• Odds: +550 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 0.7%
• Probability: 16.1%
• Matchup: Mavericks vs. Lakers (10:30PM EST)

The next best first basket bet for today's NBA action comes in the Mavericks vs. Lakers game, where our model has found an edge of 0.7% on LeBron James (LAL) at odds of +550 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

5. Luka Doncic To Score First Basket (+550)

• Odds: +550 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 0.2%
• Probability: 15.6%
• Game: Mavericks vs. Lakers (10:30PM EST)

Rounding out Dimers' top five NBA first basket bets for today is Luka Doncic (DAL) at odds of +550 in the Mavericks vs. Lakers game. Here, our model has found an edge of 0.2% with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA First Basket Predictions: Wednesday, November 22, 2023

As well as providing you with the best NBA first basket bets today, Dimers.com has also determined the most likely players to score the first basket across all of Wednesday's games.

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across today's matchups is Stephen Curry, with a probability of 16.3%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are LeBron James, with a 16.1% probability, and Luka Doncic, with a 15.6% probability.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: November 22, 2023

Thanks to simulating each one of Wednesday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Stephen Curry (Warriors)	16.3%
LeBron James (Lakers)	16.1%
Luka Doncic (Mavericks)	15.6%
Jordan Clarkson (Jazz)	14.4%
Kevin Durant (Suns)	14.4%
Kyrie Irving (Mavericks)	14.0%
Devin Booker (Suns)	13.9%

Keep in mind that this list only shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Wednesday, which does not necessarily indicate that our model, DimersBOT, recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning, it's important to look out for favorable odds.

MORE: NBA Props

Understanding Betting Edge

At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: November 22, 2023

All of our NBA first basket predictions for Wednesday, November 22, are based on thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket predictions for sports betting, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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