NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Wednesday 11/15/2023

It's time for a action-packed day of NBA basketball, and we've simulated each game 10,000 times to find the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Wednesday, November 15, 2023.

NBA first basket props are one of the more popular options for NBA fans to bet on, and by using Wednesday's data-driven projections below, you can gain an advantage over other bettors.

All of the best online sportsbooks throughout the nation offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, and by utilizing our advanced machine learning and analysis, Dimers.com has been able to identify where the best value can be found on Wednesday, 11/15.

Wednesday's NBA slate features star players such as Donovan Mitchell, De'Aaron Fox, and LeBron James, each with a high chance of opening the scoring when they take to the court.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on November 15.

MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Wednesday 11/15/2023

After simulating the result of today's NBA slate thousands of times, our predictive model has generated the best NBA first basket betting picks for Wednesday.

1. De'Aaron Fox To Score First Basket (+650)

• Odds: +650 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 1.6%
• Probability: 14.9%
• Matchup: Kings vs. Lakers (10:00PM EST)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Wednesday's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Kings and Lakers. The bet is on De'Aaron Fox (SAC) at odds of +650 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 1.6%.

2. Evan Mobley To Score First Basket (+800)

• Odds: +800 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 1.4%
• Probability: 12.5%
• Matchup: Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM EST)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today comes in the Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers game, where our model has found an edge of 1.4% on Evan Mobley (CLE) at odds of +800 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA First Basket Predictions: Wednesday, November 15, 2023

In addition to providing you with the best NBA first basket bets today, Dimers.com has also found the most likely players to score the first basket across all of Wednesday's games.

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in any of today's matchups is Donovan Mitchell, with a probability of 16.8%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are De'Aaron Fox, with a 14.9% probability, and LeBron James, with a 14.6% probability.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: November 15, 2023

Thanks to simulating each one of Wednesday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers)	16.8%
De'Aaron Fox (Kings)	14.9%
LeBron James (Lakers)	14.6%
Jerami Grant (Trail Blazers)	13.2%
Evan Mobley (Cavaliers)	12.5%
Anthony Davis (Lakers)	12.5%

Remember, although this list shows the players with the highest probability of scoring the first basket on Wednesday, it does not necessarily mean they are suggested bets according to our predictive analytics model.

To increase your chances of winning, it's important to keep an eye on favorable odds.

MORE: NBA Props

Understanding Betting Edge

At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: November 15, 2023

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks for Wednesday, November 15, are generated after rigorous data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket picks for sports betting, it's crucial that you practice responsible gambling and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More NBA on Dimers

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