NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Tuesday 12/5/2023

It's time for a exciting day of NBA action, and we've simulated every game 10,000 times to find the best NBA first basket predictions for you on Tuesday, December 5, 2023.

Tuesday's NBA slate features players such as Jalen Brunson, Giannis Antetokounmpo and Kevin Durant, each with a high probability of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props are one of the more popular options for basketball bettors to wager on, and by using Tuesday's data-driven predictions below, you can gain an edge over other bettors.

All of the best sportsbooks in the country offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, and by utilizing our state-of-the-art computer power and analysis, Dimers.com has identified where to find the best value on Tuesday, 12/5.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our supercomputer has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on December 5.

MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Tuesday 12/5/2023

Having simulated the result of today's NBA matchups 10,000 times each, our predictive model has discovered the best NBA first basket betting picks for Tuesday.

1. RJ Barrett To Score First Basket (+950)

• Odds: +950
• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 11.8%
• Game: Knicks vs. Bucks (7:30PM EST)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Tuesday's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Knicks and Bucks. The bet is on RJ Barrett (NY) at odds of +950 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 2.3%.

2. D'Angelo Russell To Score First Basket (+850)

• Odds: +850
• Edge: 0.6%
• Probability: 11.1%
• Game: Suns vs. Lakers (10:00PM EST)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today comes in the Suns vs. Lakers game, where our model has found an edge of 0.6% on D'Angelo Russell (LAL) at odds of +850 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

3. Julius Randle To Score First Basket (+650)

• Odds: +650
• Edge: 0.1%
• Probability: 13.4%
• Game: Knicks vs. Bucks (7:30PM EST)

Our next NBA first basket bet on Tuesday comes in the Knicks vs. Bucks game, where our model has found an edge of 0.1% on Julius Randle (NY) at odds of +650 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA First Basket Predictions: Tuesday, December 5, 2023

In addition to providing you with the best NBA first basket bets today, Dimers.com has also determined the most likely players to score the first basket across all of Tuesday's games.

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in any of today's matchups is Jalen Brunson, with a probability of 15.2%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Giannis Antetokounmpo, with a 14.6% probability, and Kevin Durant, with a 14.5% probability.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: December 5, 2023

Thanks to simulating every one of Tuesday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Jalen Brunson (Knicks)	15.2%
Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks)	14.6%
Kevin Durant (Suns)	14.5%
LeBron James (Lakers)	14.0%
Julius Randle (Knicks)	13.4%
Anthony Davis (Lakers)	13.2%
Devin Booker (Suns)	12.5%
RJ Barrett (Knicks)	11.8%
D'Angelo Russell (Lakers)	11.1%
Damian Lillard (Bucks)	10.2%

Remember, although this list shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Tuesday, it does not necessarily indicate they are recommended bets according to our predictive analytics model.

To increase your chances of winning, it's important to look out for the best odds available.

MORE: NBA Props

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: December 5, 2023

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks and predictions for Tuesday, December 5, are based on rigorous data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket predictions for sports betting, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More NBA on Dimers

So, you like our NBA first basket props coverage? Awesome. Did you know our NBA Betting News section has a detailed betting preview for every NBA gamethe second the sportsbooks release their odds? It's only a click away, so why not check it out?