NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Tuesday 11/28/2023

We have another exciting day of NBA basketball upon us, and we've simulated each game thousands of times to find the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Tuesday, November 28, 2023.

NBA first basket props are one of the more popular options for basketball bettors to wager on, and by using Tuesday's data-driven predictions below, you can gain an advantage over other bettors.

The top online sportsbooks offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, but finding where the best value lies can be challenging. That's where Dimers.com's state-of-the-art approach comes into play.

Tuesday's NBA slate features big names such as Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luka Doncic, and De'Aaron Fox, each with a high chance of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our predictive analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on November 28.

MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Tuesday 11/28/2023

Having simulated the outcome of today's NBA matchups 10K times each, our trusted predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has generated the best NBA first basket betting picks for Tuesday.

1. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander To Score First Basket (+650)

• Odds: +650
• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 16.3%
• Matchup: Thunder vs. Timberwolves (8:00PM EST)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Thunder and Timberwolves. The bet is on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) at odds of +650 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 3.0%.

The next two suggested plays are for De'Aaron Fox (2.6% edge) to score first in the Warriors vs. Kings game and Kyrie Irving (0.8%) to score the first basket in the Rockets vs. Mavericks matchup.

2. De'Aaron Fox To Score First Basket (+650)

• Odds: +650
• Edge: 2.6%
• Probability: 15.9%
• Game: Warriors vs. Kings (10:00PM EST)

The next best NBA first basket bet for Tuesday comes in the Warriors vs. Kings game, where our model has found an edge of 2.6% on De'Aaron Fox (SAC) at odds of +650 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

3. Kyrie Irving To Score First Basket (+600)

• Odds: FanDuel Sportsbook+600
• Edge: 0.8%
• Probability: 15.1%
• Game: Rockets vs. Mavericks (8:30PM EST)

Our next NBA first basket bet on Tuesday comes in the Rockets vs. Mavericks game, where our model has found an edge of 0.8% on Kyrie Irving (DAL) at odds of +600 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

4. Alperen Sengun To Score First Basket (+650)

• Odds: +650
• Edge: 0.5%
• Probability: 13.9%
• Matchup: Rockets vs. Mavericks (8:30PM EST)

The next best first basket bet for today's NBA action comes in the Rockets vs. Mavericks game, where our model has found an edge of 0.5% on Alperen Sengun (HOU) at odds of +650 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA First Basket Predictions: Tuesday, November 28, 2023

As well as providing you with the best NBA first basket bets today, Dimers.com has also determined the most likely players to score the first basket across all of Tuesday's games.

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across today's games is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, with a probability of 16.4%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Luka Doncic, with a 16.0% probability, and De'Aaron Fox, with a 15.9% probability.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: November 28, 2023

Thanks to simulating every one of Tuesday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)	16.4%
Luka Doncic (Mavericks)	16.0%
De'Aaron Fox (Kings)	15.9%
Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks)	15.6%
Jayson Tatum (Celtics)	15.5%
Stephen Curry (Warriors)	15.2%
Kyrie Irving (Mavericks)	15.1%
Karl-Anthony Towns (Timberwolves)	14.9%
Mikal Bridges (Nets)	14.0%
Bam Adebayo (Heat)	14.0%

Remember, although this list shows the players with the highest probability of scoring the first basket on Tuesday, it does not necessarily indicate they are recommended bets according to DimersBOT.

To increase your chances of winning, it's important to look out for the best odds available.

MORE: NBA Props

Understanding Betting Edge

At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: November 28, 2023

All of Dimers' NBA first basket predictions for Tuesday, November 28, are based on thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket picks for sports betting, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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