NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Tuesday 11/21/2023

It's time for a big day of NBA action, and we've simulated each matchup thousands of times to find the most reliable NBA first basket bets for you to make on Tuesday, November 21, 2023.

NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular options for NBA fans to bet on, and by using Tuesday's data-backed projections below, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.

The best online sportsbooks across the country offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, but pinpointing where the best value lies can be challenging. That's where Dimers.com's cutting-edge approach comes into play.

Tuesday's NBA slate is expected to showcase star players such as LeBron James, Kevin Durant, and Jordan Clarkson, each with a high chance of opening the scoring when they take to the court.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our predictive analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on November 21.

MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Tuesday 11/21/2023

Having simulated the outcome of today's NBA matchups thousands of times each, our leading predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has found the best NBA first basket betting picks for Tuesday.

1. Jordan Clarkson To Score First Basket (+1400)

• Odds: +1400 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 7.3%
• Probability: 14%
• Matchup: Jazz vs. Lakers (10:00PM EST)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Jazz and Lakers. The bet is on Jordan Clarkson (UTA) at odds of +1400 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 7.3%.

2. Jerami Grant To Score First Basket (+750)

• Odds: +750 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 1.6%
• Probability: 13.3%
• Matchup: Trail Blazers vs. Suns (9:00PM EST)

The next best NBA first basket bet for Tuesday comes in the Trail Blazers vs. Suns game, where our model has found an edge of 1.6% on Jerami Grant (POR) at odds of +750 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA First Basket Predictions: Tuesday, November 21, 2023

As well as presenting the best NBA first basket bets today, Dimers.com has also identified the most likely players to score the first basket across all of Tuesday's games.

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across today's games is LeBron James, with a probability of 15.5%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Kevin Durant, with a 14.0% probability, and Jordan Clarkson, with a 14.0% probability.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: November 21, 2023

Thanks to simulating each one of Tuesday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
LeBron James (Lakers)	15.5%
Kevin Durant (Suns)	14.0%
Jordan Clarkson (Jazz)	14.0%
Devin Booker (Suns)	14.0%
Lauri Markkanen (Jazz)	13.8%
Jerami Grant (Trail Blazers)	13.3%
Malcolm Brogdon (Trail Blazers)	12.2%
Anthony Davis (Lakers)	12.1%
D'Angelo Russell (Lakers)	11.5%
Deandre Ayton (Trail Blazers)	11.4%

Remember, although this list shows the players with the highest probability of scoring the first basket on Tuesday, it does not necessarily mean they are suggested bets according to DimersBOT.

To increase your chances of winning, it's important to look out for favorable odds.

MORE: NBA Props

Understanding Betting Edge

At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: November 21, 2023

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks and predictions for Tuesday, November 21, are the result of rigorous data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket picks for sports betting, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More NBA on Dimers

If you enjoyed our NBA first basket props, you're definitely going to want to take a look at Dimers' NBA prop picks for today.

Here, we have predictions on player points, rebounds, assists, 3-pointers, and more! Plus, with the ability to filter which of Tuesday's NBA games you want props for, there's no shortage of options when it comes to parlays and same-game parlays for today's basketball action.