NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Tuesday 11/14/2023

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Written by Kevin Hansen
NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Tuesday 11/14/2023

It's time for a exciting day of NBA action, and we've simulated all of today's matchups 10,000 times to find the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Tuesday, November 14, 2023.

NBA first basket props are one of the more popular options for NBA fans to bet on, and by using Tuesday's data-driven projections below, you can gain an edge over everyone else.

All of the top sportsbooks throughout the nation offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, and by utilizing our trusted computer power and analysis, Dimers.com has identified where the best value can be found on Tuesday, 11/14.

Tuesday's NBA slate features big names such as Luka Doncic, Desmond Bane, and LeBron James, each with a high probability of opening the scoring when they take to the court.

Here, we will provide you with a list of players that our supercomputer has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on November 14.

MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Tuesday 11/14/2023

Having simulated the result of today's NBA matchups thousands of times each, our independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has discovered the best NBA first basket betting picks for Tuesday.

1. Anthony Edwards To Score First Basket (+700)

  • Odds: +700 via FanDuel Sportsbook
  • Edge: 2.2%
  • Probability: 14.7%
  • Game: Timberwolves vs. Warriors (10:00PM EST)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Timberwolves and Warriors. The bet is on Anthony Edwards (MIN) at odds of +700 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 2.2%.

 

2. Desmond Bane To Score First Basket (+600)

  • Odds: +600 via FanDuel Sportsbook
  • Edge: 1.4%
  • Probability: 15.6%
  • Game: Grizzlies vs. Lakers (10:30PM EST)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today comes in the Grizzlies vs. Lakers game, where our model has found an edge of 1.4% on Desmond Bane (MEM) at odds of +600 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

 

Tonight's NBA First Basket Predictions: Tuesday, November 14, 2023

In addition to providing you with the best NBA first basket bets today, Dimers.com has also found the most likely players to score the first basket across all of Tuesday's games.

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across all of today's games is Luka Doncic, with a probability of 16.3%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Desmond Bane, with a 15.6% probability, and LeBron James, with a 14.9% probability.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: November 14, 2023

Thanks to simulating every one of Tuesday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team) First Basket Probability
Luka Doncic (Mavericks) 16.3%
Desmond Bane (Grizzlies) 15.6%
LeBron James (Lakers) 14.9%
Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves) 14.7%
Kyrie Irving (Mavericks) 14.0%
Anthony Davis (Lakers) 12.6%

Remember, although this list shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Tuesday, it does not necessarily indicate they are recommended bets according to our predictive analytics model.

To increase your chances of winning, it's important to keep an eye on favorable odds.

MORE: NBA Props

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Tonight's NBA First Basket Picks: November 14, 2023

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks for Tuesday, November 14, are made thanks to thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket picks for your personal gambling, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More NBA on Dimers

As well as providing NBA prop plays such as the first basket picks featured above for Tuesday, Dimers also provides a detailed range of NBA prop trends to help your basketball bets every day. These best trends will tell you how often star players are hitting certain prop lines, with numbers for every single NBA matchup on November 14, 2023.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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