NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Thursday 6/1/2023

We have another action-packed day of NBA Playoffs ahead of us, and we've run thousands of Nuggets vs. Heat Game 1 simulations to find the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Thursday June 1, 2023.

NBA first basket props are one of the most popular options for basketball bettors to wager on, and by using Thursday's predictions below, you can gain an advantage over other bettors.

All of the top sportsbooks offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, and by utilizing our high-tech computer power and data, Dimers.com has identified where the best value can be found on Thursday 6/1.

Thursday's NBA NBA Finals Game 1 between the Nuggets and Heat is set to feature star players such as Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, and Jimmy Butler, each with a high chance of scoring the first basket in tonight's game Finals game.

Here, we will provide you with a list of players that our basketball model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on June 1.

MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times

Best First Basket Picks Tonight - Nuggets vs. Heat Game 1

After simulating today's Nuggets vs. Heat Game 1, our leading predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has discovered the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Thursday.

Caleb Martin To Score First Basket (+900)

• Odds: +900 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 1.8%
• Probability: 11.8%
• Matchup: Heat vs. Nuggets (8:30PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today, which is in the game between the Heat and Nuggets. The bet is on Caleb Martin (MIA) at odds of +900 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 1.8%.

The next two suggested bets are for Aaron Gordon (0.0% edge) to score first in the Heat vs. Nuggets game, and Max Strus (0.0%) to score the first basket, also in the Heat-Nuggets matchup.

Aaron Gordon To Score First Basket (+1400)

• Odds: +1400 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 0.0%
• Probability: 6.7%
• Game: Heat vs. Nuggets (8:30PM ET)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today also comes in the Heat vs. Nuggets game, where our model has found an edge of 0.0% on Aaron Gordon (DEN) at odds of +1400 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Max Strus To Score First Basket (+1200)

• Odds: +1200 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 0.0%
• Probability: 7.7%
• Game: Heat vs. Nuggets (8:30PM ET)

Our next best NBA first basket bet on Thursday comes in the Heat vs. Nuggets game, where our model has found an edge of 0.0% on Max Strus (MIA) at odds of +1200 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA First Basket Predictions - Thursday June 1, 2023

In addition to presenting the best NBA first basket bets today, we have also determined the most likely players to score the first basket in Game 1 of Nuggets vs. Heat.

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket today is Nikola Jokic, with a probability of 15.7%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Jamal Murray, with a 13.4% probability, and Jimmy Butler, with a 12.1% probability.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight - June 1, 2023

With Game 1 of the NBA Finals between the Nuggets and Heat on the slate for tonight, DimersBOT has provided the probabiliy of each of the 10 likely starters scoring first.

• Nikola Jokic (DEN): 15.7% probability
• Jamal Murray (DEN): 13.4% probability
• Jimmy Butler (MIA): 12.1% probability
• Caleb Martin (MIA): 11.8% probability
• Bam Adebayo (MIA): 10.7% probability
• Max Strus (MIA): 7.7% probability
• Gabe Vincent (MIA): 7.7% probability
• Aaron Gordon (DEN): 6.7% probability
• Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (DEN): 6.7% probability

Remember, although this list shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Thursday, it does not always mean they are recommended bets according to DimersBOT.

To increase your chances of winning, it's important to look out for favorable odds.

MORE: NBA Props - Thursday June 1, 2023

What Is an Edge in Betting?

The edge at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks - June 1, 2023

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks and predictions for Thursday June 1 are based on thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket picks for your personal gambling, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More on NBA

As well as providing NBA prop bets such as the first basket picks featured above for Thursday, we also provide a detailed list of NBA prop trends to help your basketball bets every day. These NBA trends will tell you how often star players are hitting certain prop lines, with numbers for each and every NBA matchup on June 1, 2023.