NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Thursday 5/11/23

We have another exciting day of NBA Playoffs ahead of us, and we've run thousands of simulations to find the best NBA first basket predictions for you on Thursday May 11, 2023.

NBA first basket props are one of the more popular options for NBA bettors to wager on, and by using Thursday's projections below, you can gain an edge over everyone else.

All of the top online sportsbooks throughout the nation offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, and by utilizing our high-tech machine learning and data, Dimers.com has been able to identify where the best value can be found on Thursday 5/11.

Thursday's NBA Playoffs action is set to showcase star players such as Devin Booker, Nikola Jokic, and Jamal Murray, each with a high chance of scoring first when they take to the court.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on May 11.

MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times

Best First Basket Picks Today - Thursday 5/11/23

After simulating today's NBA Playoffs action thousands of times, our model has discovered the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Thursday.

Jamal Murray To Score First Basket (+750)

• Odds: +750 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 1.3%
• Probability: 13%
• Game: Nuggets vs. Suns (10:00PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today, which is in the game between the Nuggets and Suns. The bet is on Jamal Murray (DEN) at odds of +750 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 1.3%.

The next two suggested bets are for Jock Landale (0.9% edge) to score first in the Nuggets vs. Suns game, and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (0.1%) to score the first basket, also in the Nuggets-Suns matchup.

Jock Landale To Score First Basket (+1000)

• Odds: +1000 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 0.9%
• Probability: 10%
• Matchup: Nuggets vs. Suns (10:00PM ET)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today comes in the Nuggets vs. Suns game, where our model has found an edge of 0.9% on Jock Landale (PHX) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope To Score First Basket (+1800)

• Odds: +1800 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 0.1%
• Probability: 5.3%
• Game: Nuggets vs. Suns (10:00PM ET)

Our next best NBA first basket bet on Thursday comes in the Nuggets vs. Suns game, where our model has found an edge of 0.1% on Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (DEN) at odds of +1800 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA First Basket Predictions - Thursday May 11, 2023

In addition to presenting the best NBA first basket bets today, Dimers.com has also identified the most likely players to score the first basket on Thursday.

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket today is Devin Booker, with a probability of 16.4%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Nikola Jokic, with a 16.0% probability, and Jamal Murray, with a 13.0% probability.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight - May 11, 2023

• Devin Booker (PHX): 16.4% probability
• Nikola Jokic (DEN): 16.0% probability
• Jamal Murray (DEN): 13.0% probability
• Kevin Durant (PHX): 11.7% probability
• Jock Landale (PHX): 10.0% probability
• Aaron Gordon (DEN): 7.2% probability
• Cameron Payne (PHX): 6.1% probability
• Landry Shamet (PHX): 5.8% probability
• Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (DEN): 5.3% probability

Keep in mind that this list only shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Thursday, which does not always mean that DimersBOT recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning, it's important to look out for favorable odds.

MORE: NBA Props - Thursday May 11, 2023

What Is an Edge in Betting?

The edge at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks - May 11, 2023

All of our NBA first basket picks and predictions for Thursday May 11 are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations per game, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket predictions for your personal gambling, it's vital that you practice responsible gambling and manage your bankroll effectively.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More on NBA

After taking in our NBA first basket props, you're definitely going to want to check out the rest of our NBA prop picks for today.

Here, we have bets for player points, rebounds, assists, 3-pointers, and more! Plus, with the ability to filter which of Thursday's NBA matchups you want props for, there's no shortage of options when it comes to parlays and same-game parlays for today's basketball betting action.