NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Thursday 2/1/2024

We have another action-packed day of professional hoops ahead of us, and we've simulated all of today's games 10,000 times to find the most reliable NBA first basket picks and odds for Thursday, February 1, 2024.

Thursday's NBA games are expected to feature star players such as Jalen Brunson, Donovan Mitchell and D'Angelo Russell, each with a high chance of opening the scoring when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props are one of the most popular options for NBA fans to bet on, and by using Thursday's data-backed NBA predictions below, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our basketball model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on February 1.

The best online sportsbooks offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, and by utilizing our cutting-edge machine learning and analysis, Dimers.com has identified where the best value lies on Thursday, 2/1.

These books include BetMGM, where new users can bet $5 on any of the below players to unlock $158 in bonus bets, even if he fails to open the scoring. Click ➡️ here ⬅️ to get started!.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: February 1, 2024

Thanks to simulating every one of Thursday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Jalen Brunson (Knicks)	17.8%
Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers)	15.6%
D'Angelo Russell (Lakers)	13.6%
Collin Sexton (Jazz)	13.3%
Tyrese Maxey (76ers)	12.7%
Darius Garland (Cavaliers)	12.6%
Pascal Siakam (Pacers)	12.5%
Jaylen Brown (Celtics)	12.2%
Donte DiVincenzo (Knicks)	12.1%
Jayson Tatum (Celtics)	12.0%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across today's games is Jalen Brunson, with a probability of 17.8%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Donovan Mitchell, with a 15.6% probability, and D'Angelo Russell, with a 13.6% probability. Keep in mind that this list only shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Thursday, which does not always indicate that our model recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to look out for favorable odds.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Thursday 2/1/2024

Having simulated the outcome of today's NBA slate thousands of times, our independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has generated the best NBA first basket betting picks for Thursday.

1. D'Angelo Russell To Score First Basket (+900)

• Odds: +900
• Edge: 3.6%
• Probability: 13.6%
• Matchup: Lakers vs. Celtics (7:30PM EST)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Thursday's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Lakers and Celtics. The bet is on D'Angelo Russell (LAL) at odds of +900 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 3.6%.

The next two recommended bets are for Jaxson Hayes (2.8% edge) to score first in the Lakers vs. Celtics game and Darius Garland (2.6%) to score the first basket in the Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies matchup.

2. Jaxson Hayes To Score First Basket (+1000)

• Odds: +1000
• Edge: 2.8%
• Probability: 11.9%
• Matchup: Lakers vs. Celtics (7:30PM EST)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today also comes in the Lakers vs. Celtics game, where our model has found an edge of 2.8% on Jaxson Hayes (LAL) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

3. Darius Garland To Score First Basket (+900)

• Odds: +900
• Edge: 2.6%
• Probability: 12.6%
• Game: Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies (8:00PM EST)

Our next NBA first basket bet today comes in the Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies game, where our model has found an edge of 2.6% on Darius Garland (CLE) at odds of +900 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

4. Kris Dunn To Score First Basket (+1900)

• Odds: +1900
• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 7.3%
• Game: 76ers vs. Jazz (10:00PM EST)

The next best first basket bet for Thursday's NBA action comes in the 76ers vs. Jazz game, where our model has found an edge of 2.3% on Kris Dunn (UTA) at odds of +1900 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

5. Aaron Nesmith To Score First Basket (+1300)

• Odds: +1300
• Edge: 1.7%
• Probability: 8.9%
• Game: Pacers vs. Knicks (7:30PM EST)

Rounding out our top five NBA first basket bets for Thursday is Aaron Nesmith (IND) at odds of +1300 in the Pacers vs. Knicks game. Here, our model has found an edge of 1.7% with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Understanding Betting Edge

At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: February 1, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for February 1, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

All of our NBA first basket picks and predictions for Thursday, February 1, are the result of thousands of data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket predictions for sports betting, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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