NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Thursday 1/4/2024

We have another action-packed day of NBA basketball upon us, and we've simulated all of today's games 10,000 times to find the most reliable NBA first basket picks and odds for Thursday, January 4, 2024.

Thursday's NBA games are expected to feature star players such as Stephen Curry, Jamal Murray and Klay Thompson, each with a high chance of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props are one of the most popular options for NBA fans to bet on, and by using Thursday's data-driven NBA predictions below, you can gain an edge over everyone else.

All of the best online sportsbooks across the country offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, and by utilizing our cutting-edge machine learning and analysis, Dimers.com has identified where to find the best value on Thursday, 1/4.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on January 4.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Thursday 1/4/2024

Having simulated the outcome of today's NBA matchups thousands of times each, our predictive model has found the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Thursday.

1. Jamal Murray To Score First Basket (+850)

• Odds: +850
• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 13.2%
• Matchup: Nuggets vs. Warriors (10:00PM EST)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Thursday's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Nuggets and Warriors. The bet is on Jamal Murray (DEN) at odds of +850 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 2.7%.

The next two recommended bets are for Klay Thompson (0.7% edge) to score first in the Nuggets vs. Warriors game and Stephen Curry (0.3%) to score the first basket, also in the Nuggets-Warriors matchup.

2. Klay Thompson To Score First Basket (+750)

• Odds: +750
• Edge: 0.7%
• Probability: 12.4%
• Matchup: Nuggets vs. Warriors (10:00PM EST)

The next best NBA first basket bet for Thursday also comes in the Nuggets vs. Warriors game, where our model has found an edge of 0.7% on Klay Thompson (GSW) at odds of +750 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

3. Stephen Curry To Score First Basket (+650)

• Odds: +650
• Edge: 0.3%
• Probability: 13.7%
• Game: Nuggets vs. Warriors (10:00PM EST)

Our next NBA first basket bet on Thursday comes in the Nuggets vs. Warriors game, where our model has found an edge of 0.3% on Stephen Curry (GSW) at odds of +650 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

4. Chris Paul To Score First Basket (+1500)

• Odds: +1500
• Edge: 0.0%
• Probability: 6.3%
• Game: Nuggets vs. Warriors (10:00PM EST)

The next best first basket bet for Thursday's NBA action comes in the Nuggets vs. Warriors game, where our model has found an edge of 0.0% on Chris Paul (GSW) at odds of +1500 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA First Basket Predictions: Thursday, January 4, 2024

In addition to providing you with the best NBA first basket bets today, Dimers.com has also found the most likely players to score the first basket across all of Thursday's games.

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in any of today's matchups is Stephen Curry, with a probability of 13.7%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Jamal Murray, with a 13.2% probability, and Klay Thompson, with a 12.4% probability.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: January 4, 2024

Thanks to simulating each one of Thursday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Stephen Curry (Warriors)	13.7%
Jamal Murray (Nuggets)	13.2%
Klay Thompson (Warriors)	12.4%
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)	12.4%
Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)	9.9%
Chris Paul (Warriors)	6.3%
Kevon Looney (Warriors)	6.1%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (Nuggets)	5.2%

Keep in mind that this list only shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Thursday, which does not always indicate that DimersBOT recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to look out for favorable odds.

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: January 4, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for January 4, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks for Thursday, January 4, are the result of rigorous data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket predictions for your personal gambling, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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