NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Thursday 12/14/2023

It's time for a action-packed day of NBA action, and we've simulated each game thousands of times to find the best NBA first basket picks and odds for Thursday, December 14, 2023.

Thursday's NBA slate features players such as Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, De'Aaron Fox and Stephen Curry, each with a high chance of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props have become one of the most popular options for basketball fans to bet on, and by using Thursday's data-backed NBA predictions below, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.

All of the best sportsbooks throughout the nation offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, and by utilizing our high-tech machine learning and analysis, Dimers.com has identified where the best value can be found on Thursday, 12/14.

Here, we will provide you with a list of players that our basketball model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on December 14.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Thursday 12/14/2023

Having simulated the outcome of today's NBA matchups 10K times each, our trusted predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has found the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Thursday.

1. De'Aaron Fox To Score First Basket (+700)

• Odds: +700
• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 15.6%
• Game: Thunder vs. Kings (10:00PM EST)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Thursday's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Thunder and Kings. The bet is on De'Aaron Fox (SAC) at odds of +700 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 3.1%.

The next two recommended plays are for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (1.8% edge) to score first in the Thunder vs. Kings game and Kawhi Leonard (1.1%) to score the first basket in the Warriors vs. Clippers matchup.

2. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander To Score First Basket (+600)

• Odds: +600
• Edge: 1.8%
• Probability: 16.1%
• Matchup: Thunder vs. Kings (10:00PM EST)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today also comes in the Thunder vs. Kings game, where our model has found an edge of 1.8% on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) at odds of +600 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

3. Kawhi Leonard To Score First Basket (+650)

• Odds: +650
• Edge: 1.1%
• Probability: 14.5%
• Matchup: Warriors vs. Clippers (10:30PM EST)

Our next NBA first basket bet on Thursday comes in the Warriors vs. Clippers game, where our model has found an edge of 1.1% on Kawhi Leonard (LAC) at odds of +650 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

4. Anfernee Simons To Score First Basket (+650)

• Odds: +650
• Edge: 1.0%
• Probability: 14.4%
• Matchup: Jazz vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM EST)

The next best first basket bet for today's NBA action comes in the Jazz vs. Trail Blazers game, where our model has found an edge of 1.0% on Anfernee Simons (POR) at odds of +650 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

5. Collin Sexton To Score First Basket (+700)

• Odds: +700
• Edge: 0.5%
• Probability: 13%
• Matchup: Jazz vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM EST)

Rounding out Dimers' top five NBA first basket bets for today is Collin Sexton (UTA) at odds of +700 in the Jazz vs. Trail Blazers game. Here, our model has found an edge of 0.5% with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA First Basket Predictions: Thursday, December 14, 2023

As well as providing you with the best NBA first basket bets today, Dimers.com has also determined the most likely players to score the first basket across all of Thursday's games.

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across today's matchups is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, with a probability of 16.1%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are De'Aaron Fox, with a 15.6% probability, and Stephen Curry, with a 14.8% probability.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: December 14, 2023

Thanks to simulating every one of Thursday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)	16.1%
De'Aaron Fox (Kings)	15.6%
Stephen Curry (Warriors)	14.8%
Kawhi Leonard (Clippers)	14.4%
Anfernee Simons (Trail Blazers)	14.4%
Collin Sexton (Jazz)	13.0%
Ivica Zubac (Clippers)	12.3%
Deandre Ayton (Trail Blazers)	12.0%
Shaedon Sharpe (Trail Blazers)	11.5%

Keep in mind that this list only shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Thursday, which does not necessarily mean that DimersBOT recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to keep an eye on favorable odds.

Understanding Betting Edge

At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.

Tonight's NBA First Basket Picks: December 14, 2023

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for December 14, 2023, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks and predictions for Thursday, December 14, are based on thousands of data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket predictions for your personal gambling, it's important that you practice responsible gambling and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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