NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Thursday 11/9/2023

Another exciting day of NBA action is on the cards, and we've simulated every game thousands of times to find the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Thursday, November 9, 2023.

NBA first basket props are one of the more popular options for sports fans to bet on, and by using Thursday's data-driven projections below, you can gain an edge over everyone else.

The top sportsbooks offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, and by utilizing our trusted machine learning and analysis, Dimers.com has been able to identify where the best value can be found on Thursday, 11/9.

Thursday's NBA games are expected to showcase star players such as Dejounte Murray, Markelle Fultz, and Jalen Johnson, each with a high probability of opening the scoring when they take to the court.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on November 9.

MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times

Best First Basket Picks Today: Thursday 11/9/2023

Having simulated the result of today's NBA slate thousands of times, our predictive model has generated the best NBA first basket betting picks for Thursday.

1. Markelle Fultz To Score First Basket (+1200)

• Odds: +1200 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 12%
• Game: Hawks vs. Magic (9:30PM EST)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Thursday's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Hawks and Magic. The bet is on Markelle Fultz (ORL) at odds of +1200 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 4.3%.

2. Jalen Johnson To Score First Basket (+1100)

• Odds: +1100 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 2.6%
• Probability: 10.9%
• Matchup: Hawks vs. Magic (9:30PM EST)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today also comes in the Hawks vs. Magic game, where our model has found an edge of 2.6% on Jalen Johnson (ATL) at odds of +1100 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Tonight's NBA First Basket Predictions: Thursday, November 9, 2023

As well as presenting the best NBA first basket bets today, Dimers.com has also identified the most likely players to score the first basket across all of Thursday's games.

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in any of today's matchups is Dejounte Murray, with a probability of 12.0%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Markelle Fultz, with a 12.0% probability, and Jalen Johnson, with a 10.9% probability.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: November 9, 2023

Thanks to simulating every one of Thursday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Dejounte Murray (Hawks)	12.0%
Markelle Fultz (Magic)	12.0%
Jalen Johnson (Hawks)	10.9%
Franz Wagner (Magic)	10.5%
Trae Young (Hawks)	10.4%
Paolo Banchero (Magic)	9.9%
Goga Bitadze (Magic)	9.4%
Clint Capela (Hawks)	8.5%
Jalen Suggs (Magic)	8.3%
De'Andre Hunter (Hawks)	8.2%

Remember, although this list shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Thursday, it does not always mean they are suggested bets according to our predictive analytics model.

To increase your chances of winning, it's important to look out for the best odds available.

MORE: NBA Props

Understanding Betting Edge

At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.

Tonight's NBA First Basket Picks: November 9, 2023

All of Dimers' NBA first basket predictions for Thursday, November 9, are generated after thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket predictions for sports betting, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More NBA on Dimers

After taking in our NBA first basket props, you're definitely going to want to check out the rest of our NBA prop picks for today.

Here, we have suggested plays for player points, rebounds, assists, 3-pointers, and more! Plus, with the ability to filter which of Thursday's NBA games you want props for, there's no lack of options when it comes to your same-game parlays for today's NBA action.