NBA First Basket Predictions and Odds - Thursday [11/30/2023]

It's time for a exciting day of NBA basketball, and we've simulated each game 10,000 times to find the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Thursday, November 30, 2023.

Thursday's NBA slate features star players such as Stephen Curry, Jalen Brunson and Julius Randle, each with a high chance of opening the scoring when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props are one of the most popular options for basketball fans to bet on, and by using Thursday's data-driven projections below, you can gain an advantage over other bettors.

All of the best online sportsbooks throughout the nation offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, but identifying where the best value lies can be puzzling. That's where Dimers.com's cutting-edge approach comes into play.

Here, we will provide you with a list of players that our predictive analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on November 30.

MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Thursday 11/30/2023

After simulating the outcome of today's NBA slate thousands of times, our predictive model has generated the best NBA first basket betting picks for Thursday.

1. Kawhi Leonard To Score First Basket (+850)

• Odds: +850
• Edge: 2.4%
• Probability: 12.9%
• Game: Clippers vs. Warriors (10:00PM EST)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Thursday's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Clippers and Warriors. The bet is on Kawhi Leonard (LAC) at odds of +850 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 2.4%.

2. Paul George To Score First Basket (+750)

• Odds: +750
• Edge: 1.2%
• Probability: 12.9%
• Matchup: Clippers vs. Warriors (10:00PM EST)

The next best NBA first basket bet for Thursday also comes in the Clippers vs. Warriors game, where our model has found an edge of 1.2% on Paul George (LAC) at odds of +750 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA First Basket Predictions: Thursday, November 30, 2023

As well as presenting the best NBA first basket bets today, Dimers.com has also determined the most likely players to score the first basket across all of Thursday's games.

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in any of today's games is Stephen Curry, with a probability of 15.5%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Jalen Brunson, with a 14.4% probability, and Julius Randle, with a 13.0% probability.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: November 30, 2023

Thanks to simulating each one of Thursday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Stephen Curry (Warriors)	15.5%
Jalen Brunson (Knicks)	14.4%
Julius Randle (Knicks)	13.0%
Paul George (Clippers)	12.9%
Kawhi Leonard (Clippers)	12.9%
Victor Wembanyama (Spurs)	12.7%

Remember, although this list shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Thursday, it does not always indicate they are suggested bets according to DimersBOT.

To increase your chances of winning, it's important to look out for the best odds available.

MORE: NBA Props

Understanding Betting Edge

At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: November 30, 2023

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks and predictions for Thursday, November 30, are the result of rigorous data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket picks for sports betting, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More NBA on Dimers

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