NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Thursday 11/16/2023

We have another big day of professional hoops upon us, and we've simulated all of today's games thousands of times to find the best NBA first basket picks for you on Thursday, November 16, 2023.

NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular options for sports bettors to wager on, and by using Thursday's data-backed predictions below, you can gain an advantage over other bettors.

The top sportsbooks offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, but pinpointing where the best value lies can be challenging. That's where Dimers.com's cutting-edge approach comes into play.

Thursday's NBA games are expected to showcase big names such as Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Klay Thompson, and Jonathan Kuminga, each with a high chance of opening the scoring when they take to the court.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our basketball model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on November 16.

MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times

Best First Basket Picks Today: Thursday 11/16/2023

Having simulated the outcome of today's NBA matchups thousands of times each, our independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has discovered the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Thursday.

1. Jonathan Kuminga To Score First Basket (+1200)

• Odds: +1200 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 3.8%
• Probability: 11.5%
• Game: Thunder vs. Warriors (10:00PM EST)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Thursday's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Thunder and Warriors. The bet is on Jonathan Kuminga (GSW) at odds of +1200 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 3.8%.

2. Dario Saric To Score First Basket (+1000)

• Odds: +1000 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 0.4%
• Probability: 9.5%
• Game: Thunder vs. Warriors (10:00PM EST)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today also comes in the Thunder vs. Warriors game, where our model has found an edge of 0.4% on Dario Saric (GSW) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA First Basket Predictions: Thursday, November 16, 2023

As well as providing you with the best NBA first basket bets today, we have also identified the most likely players to score the first basket across all of Thursday's games.

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in any of today's matchups is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, with a probability of 15.3%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Klay Thompson, with a 11.8% probability, and Jonathan Kuminga, with a 11.5% probability.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: November 16, 2023

Thanks to simulating each one of Thursday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)	15.3%
Klay Thompson (Warriors)	11.8%
Jonathan Kuminga (Warriors)	11.5%
Andrew Wiggins (Warriors)	9.9%
Jalen Williams (Thunder)	9.6%
Dario Saric (Warriors)	9.5%
Josh Giddey (Thunder)	9.4%
Chet Holmgren (Thunder)	8.7%
Chris Paul (Warriors)	7.3%
Luguentz Dort (Thunder)	7.0%

Remember, although this list shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Thursday, it does not always indicate they are suggested bets according to our predictive analytics model.

To increase your chances of winning, it's important to look out for the best odds available.

MORE: NBA Props

Understanding Betting Edge

At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: November 16, 2023

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks and predictions for Thursday, November 16, are the result of thousands of data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket picks for sports betting, it's vital that you practice responsible gambling and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More NBA on Dimers

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