NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Sunday 1/21/2024

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Written by Kevin Hansen
NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Sunday 1/21/2024

We have another exciting day of NBA basketball upon us, and we've simulated each game thousands of times to find the most reliable NBA first basket picks and odds for Sunday, January 21, 2024.

Sunday's NBA games are expected to feature star players such as Jerami Grant, LeBron James and Devin Booker, each with a high chance of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular options for basketball fans to bet on, and by using Sunday's data-backed NBA predictions below, you can gain an edge over everyone else.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on January 21.

The best sportsbooks across the country offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, but finding where the best value lies can be puzzling. That's where Dimers.com's cutting-edge approach comes into play.

These books include BetMGM, where new users can bet $5 on any of the below players to unlock $158 in bonus bets, even if he fails to open the scoring. Click ➡️ here ⬅️ to get started!.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: January 21, 2024

Thanks to simulating every one of Sunday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team) First Basket Probability
Jerami Grant (Trail Blazers) 13.4%
LeBron James (Lakers) 13.2%
Devin Booker (Suns) 12.9%
Anthony Davis (Lakers) 12.8%
Pascal Siakam (Pacers) 12.4%
D'Angelo Russell (Lakers) 11.3%
Bradley Beal (Suns) 11.2%
Kevin Durant (Suns) 11.1%
Myles Turner (Pacers) 11.0%
Anfernee Simons (Trail Blazers) 10.1%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across today's matchups is Jerami Grant, with a probability of 13.4%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are LeBron James, with a 13.2% probability, and Devin Booker, with a 12.9% probability. Keep in mind that this list only shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Sunday, which does not always indicate that our model recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to keep an eye on favorable odds.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Sunday 1/21/2024

After simulating the result of today's NBA matchups thousands of times each, our leading predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has generated the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Sunday.

1. Pascal Siakam To Score First Basket (+950)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Sunday's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Pacers and Suns. The bet is on Pascal Siakam (IND) at odds of +950 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 2.9%.

The next two recommended bets are for Buddy Hield (2.8% edge) to score first in the Pacers vs. Suns game and Malcolm Brogdon (1.6%) to score the first basket in the Trail Blazers vs. Lakers matchup.

2. Buddy Hield To Score First Basket (+1500)

The next best NBA first basket bet for Sunday also comes in the Pacers vs. Suns game, where our model has found an edge of 2.8% on Buddy Hield (IND) at odds of +1500 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

3. Malcolm Brogdon To Score First Basket (+1100)

Our next NBA first basket bet today comes in the Trail Blazers vs. Lakers game, where our model has found an edge of 1.6% on Malcolm Brogdon (POR) at odds of +1100 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

4. D'Angelo Russell To Score First Basket (+900)

The next best first basket bet for Sunday's NBA action comes in the Trail Blazers vs. Lakers game, where our model has found an edge of 1.3% on D'Angelo Russell (LAL) at odds of +900 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

5. Jerami Grant To Score First Basket (+700)

Rounding out Dimers' top five NBA first basket bets for today is Jerami Grant (POR) at odds of +700 in the Trail Blazers vs. Lakers game. Here, our model has found an edge of 0.9% with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Understanding Betting Edge

At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: January 21, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for January 21, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket predictions for Sunday, January 21, are based on thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket picks for sports betting, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More on NBA

This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.

For more NBA betting content we have NBA trends for every game, as well as daily NBA betting news, the best NBA promos and the latest NBA title odds and predictions.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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