NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Sunday 11/19/2023

Another action-packed day of NBA basketball is on the cards, and we've simulated all of today's games thousands of times to find the best NBA first basket predictions for you on Sunday, November 19, 2023.

NBA first basket props are one of the most popular options for sports bettors to wager on, and by using Sunday's data-backed projections below, you can gain an edge over everyone else.

The best online sportsbooks throughout the nation offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, but finding where the best value lies can be puzzling. That's where Dimers.com's state-of-the-art approach comes into play.

Sunday's NBA slate features star players such as Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Desmond Bane, and LeBron James, each with a high probability of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our basketball model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on November 19.

MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Sunday 11/19/2023

Having simulated the result of today's NBA matchups 10K times each, our leading predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has found the best NBA first basket betting picks for Sunday.

1. Jordan Clarkson To Score First Basket (+1000)

• Odds: +1000 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 13.6%
• Game: Suns vs. Jazz (8:00PM EST)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Sunday's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Suns and Jazz. The bet is on Jordan Clarkson (UTA) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 4.5%.

The next two suggested bets are for Desmond Bane (2.4% edge) to score first in the Celtics vs. Grizzlies game and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (2.0%) to score the first basket in the Thunder vs. Trail Blazers matchup.

2. Desmond Bane To Score First Basket (+700)

• Odds: +700 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 2.4%
• Probability: 14.9%
• Matchup: Celtics vs. Grizzlies (8:00PM EST)

The next best NBA first basket bet for Sunday comes in the Celtics vs. Grizzlies game, where our model has found an edge of 2.4% on Desmond Bane (MEM) at odds of +700 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

3. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander To Score First Basket (+650)

• Odds: +650 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 2.0%
• Probability: 15.4%
• Game: Thunder vs. Trail Blazers (9:00PM EST)

Our next NBA first basket bet on Sunday comes in the Thunder vs. Trail Blazers game, where our model has found an edge of 2.0% on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) at odds of +650 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

4. Alperen Sengun To Score First Basket (+650)

• Odds: +650 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 0.8%
• Probability: 14.1%
• Game: Rockets vs. Lakers (9:30PM EST)

The next best first basket bet for Sunday's NBA action comes in the Rockets vs. Lakers game, where our model has found an edge of 0.8% on Alperen Sengun (HOU) at odds of +650 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA First Basket Predictions: Sunday, November 19, 2023

As well as presenting the best NBA first basket bets today, Dimers.com has also identified the most likely players to score the first basket across all of Sunday's games.

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in any of today's matchups is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, with a probability of 15.4%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Desmond Bane, with a 14.9% probability, and LeBron James, with a 14.7% probability.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: November 19, 2023

Thanks to simulating each one of Sunday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)	15.4%
Desmond Bane (Grizzlies)	14.9%
LeBron James (Lakers)	14.7%
Devin Booker (Suns)	14.1%
Alperen Sengun (Rockets)	14.1%
Jerami Grant (Trail Blazers)	13.9%
Kevin Durant (Suns)	13.8%
Jordan Clarkson (Jazz)	13.6%
Lauri Markkanen (Jazz)	13.0%
Jayson Tatum (Celtics)	13.0%

Remember, although this list shows the players with the highest probability of scoring the first basket on Sunday, it does not always indicate they are recommended bets according to DimersBOT.

To increase your chances of winning, it's important to look out for the best odds available.

MORE: NBA Props

Understanding Betting Edge

At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: November 19, 2023

All of our NBA first basket picks and predictions for Sunday, November 19, are made after rigorous data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket picks for sports betting, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More NBA on Dimers

To get detailed NBA betting previews for every slate, all you've gotta do is visit Dimers' NBA Betting News page. It's that easy – they're all there!