NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Sunday 11/12/2023

We have another exciting day of professional hoops upon us, and we've simulated all of today's matchups 10,000 times to find the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Sunday, November 12, 2023.

NBA first basket props are one of the most popular options for basketball bettors to wager on, and by using Sunday's data-driven projections below, you can gain an edge over everyone else.

All of the top online sportsbooks in the country offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, but pinpointing where the best value lies can be puzzling. That's where Dimers.com's cutting-edge approach comes into play.

Sunday's NBA slate features star players such as Stephen Curry, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, and Kevin Durant, each with a high chance of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

Here, we will provide you with a list of players that our supercomputer has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on November 12.

MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times

Best First Basket Picks Today: Sunday 11/12/2023

After simulating the outcome of today's NBA slate thousands of times, our predictive model has found the best NBA first basket betting picks for Sunday.

1. Stephen Curry To Score First Basket (+650)

• Odds: +650 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 16.2%
• Matchup: Timberwolves vs. Warriors (8:30PM EST)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Sunday's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Timberwolves and Warriors. The bet is on Stephen Curry (GSW) at odds of +650 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 2.9%.

2. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander To Score First Basket (+650)

• Odds: +650 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 2.6%
• Probability: 15.9%
• Game: Thunder vs. Suns (8:00PM EST)

The next best NBA first basket bet for Sunday comes in the Thunder vs. Suns game, where our model has found an edge of 2.6% on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) at odds of +650 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA First Basket Predictions: Sunday, November 12, 2023

In addition to presenting the best NBA first basket bets today, Dimers.com has also determined the most likely players to score the first basket across all of Sunday's games.

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across all of today's games is Stephen Curry, with a probability of 16.2%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, with a 15.9% probability, and Kevin Durant, with a 15.2% probability.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: November 12, 2023

Thanks to simulating every one of Sunday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Stephen Curry (Warriors)	16.2%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)	15.9%
Kevin Durant (Suns)	15.2%
Anthony Davis (Lakers)	14.6%
Bradley Beal (Suns)	13.9%
Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)	13.8%

Remember, although this list shows the players with the highest probability of scoring the first basket on Sunday, it does not necessarily indicate they are suggested bets according to our predictive analytics model.

To increase your chances of winning, it's important to keep an eye on favorable odds.

MORE: NBA Props

Understanding Betting Edge

At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.

Tonight's NBA First Basket Picks: November 12, 2023

All of Dimers' NBA first basket predictions for Sunday, November 12, have been made thanks to thousands of data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket predictions for your personal gambling, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More NBA on Dimers

As well as providing NBA props such as the first basket picks featured above for Sunday, Dimers also provides a comprehensive range of NBA prop trends to help your NBA bets every day. These best trends will tell you how often players are hitting certain prop lines, with numbers for every single NBA matchup on November 12, 2023.