NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Saturday 12/2/2023

We have another exciting day of NBA basketball ahead of us, and we've simulated every matchup 10,000 times to find the most reliable NBA first basket bets for you to make on Saturday, December 2, 2023.

Saturday's NBA slate features players such as Luka Doncic, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Nikola Jokic, each with a high chance of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props are one of the more popular options for sports bettors to wager on, and by using Saturday's data-backed predictions below, you can gain an edge over other bettors.

The top online sportsbooks across the country offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, and by utilizing our advanced machine learning and analysis, Dimers.com has been able to identify where the best value can be found on Saturday, 12/2.

Here, we will provide you with a list of players that our basketball model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on December 2.

MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Saturday 12/2/2023

After simulating the result of today's NBA slate thousands of times, our predictive model has discovered the best NBA first basket betting picks for Saturday.

1. De'Aaron Fox To Score First Basket (+700)

• Odds: +700
• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 15.5%
• Matchup: Nuggets vs. Kings (10:00PM EST)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Saturday's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Nuggets and Kings. The bet is on De'Aaron Fox (SAC) at odds of +700 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 3.0%.

2. Alperen Sengun To Score First Basket (+650)

• Odds: +650
• Edge: 1.3%
• Probability: 14.6%
• Matchup: Rockets vs. Lakers (10:30PM EST)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today comes in the Rockets vs. Lakers game, where our model has found an edge of 1.3% on Alperen Sengun (HOU) at odds of +650 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

3. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander To Score First Basket (+550)

• Odds: FanDuel Sportsbook+550
• Edge: 0.9%
• Probability: 16.3%
• Game: Thunder vs. Mavericks (9:00PM EST)

Our next NBA first basket bet today comes in the Thunder vs. Mavericks game, where our model has found an edge of 0.9% on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) at odds of +550 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

4. Luka Doncic To Score First Basket (+440)

• Odds: +440
• Edge: 0.6%
• Probability: 19.2%
• Matchup: Thunder vs. Mavericks (9:00PM EST)

The next best first basket bet for today's NBA action comes in the Thunder vs. Mavericks game, where our model has found an edge of 0.6% on Luka Doncic (DAL) at odds of +440 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA First Basket Predictions: Saturday, December 2, 2023

In addition to presenting the best NBA first basket bets today, we have also identified the most likely players to score the first basket across all of Saturday's games.

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in any of today's games is Luka Doncic, with a probability of 19.2%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, with a 16.3% probability, and Nikola Jokic, with a 15.7% probability.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: December 2, 2023

Thanks to simulating each one of Saturday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Luka Doncic (Mavericks)	19.2%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)	16.3%
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)	15.7%
De'Aaron Fox (Kings)	15.6%
Kevin Durant (Suns)	14.9%
Desmond Bane (Grizzlies)	14.8%
Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks)	14.6%
Alperen Sengun (Rockets)	14.6%
Zion Williamson (Pelicans)	14.4%
LeBron James (Lakers)	14.2%

Keep in mind that this list only shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Saturday, which does not always mean that DimersBOT recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning, it's important to look out for favorable odds.

MORE: NBA Props

Understanding Betting Edge

At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: December 2, 2023

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks for Saturday, December 2, are the result of thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket picks for your personal gambling, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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