NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Saturday 12/16/2023

We have another big day of professional hoops ahead of us, and we've simulated every matchup thousands of times to find the most reliable NBA first basket picks and odds for Saturday, December 16, 2023.

Saturday's NBA games are expected to showcase star players such as De'Aaron Fox, Luka Doncic and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, each with a high probability of opening the scoring when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular options for NBA fans to bet on, and by using Saturday's data-backed NBA predictions below, you can gain an advantage over other bettors.

The top sportsbooks throughout the nation offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, and by utilizing our cutting-edge machine learning and analysis, Dimers.com has been able to identify where to find the best value on Saturday, 12/16.

Here, we will provide you with a list of players that our analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on December 16.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Saturday 12/16/2023

Having simulated the result of today's NBA matchups 10,000 times each, our predictive model has found the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Saturday.

1. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander To Score First Basket (+700)

• Odds: +700
• Edge: 3.6%
• Probability: 16.1%
• Game: Thunder vs. Nuggets (9:00PM EST)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Thunder and Nuggets. The bet is on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) at odds of +700 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 3.6%.

The next two suggested bets are for De'Aaron Fox (3.4% edge) to score first in the Jazz vs. Kings game and Kawhi Leonard (1.5%) to score the first basket in the Knicks vs. Clippers matchup.

2. De'Aaron Fox To Score First Basket (+650)

• Odds: +650
• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 16.7%
• Game: Jazz vs. Kings (10:00PM EST)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today comes in the Jazz vs. Kings game, where our model has found an edge of 3.4% on De'Aaron Fox (SAC) at odds of +650 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

3. Kawhi Leonard To Score First Basket (+700)

• Odds: +700
• Edge: 1.5%
• Probability: 14%
• Game: Knicks vs. Clippers (10:30PM EST)

Our next NBA first basket bet on Saturday comes in the Knicks vs. Clippers game, where our model has found an edge of 1.5% on Kawhi Leonard (LAC) at odds of +700 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA First Basket Predictions: Saturday, December 16, 2023

In addition to presenting the best NBA first basket bets today, we have also determined the most likely players to score the first basket across all of Saturday's games.

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in any of today's games is De'Aaron Fox, with a probability of 16.7%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Luka Doncic, with a 16.5% probability, and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, with a 16.1% probability.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: December 16, 2023

Thanks to simulating each one of Saturday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
De'Aaron Fox (Kings)	16.7%
Luka Doncic (Mavericks)	16.5%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)	16.1%
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)	15.2%
Julius Randle (Knicks)	14.1%
Kawhi Leonard (Clippers)	14.0%
Jalen Brunson (Knicks)	13.7%
Stephen Curry (Warriors)	13.2%
Jonathan Kuminga (Warriors)	12.8%
Cam Thomas (Nets)	12.6%

Keep in mind that this list only shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Saturday, which does not always indicate that our model, DimersBOT, recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to keep an eye on favorable odds.

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Tonight's NBA First Basket Picks: December 16, 2023

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for December 16, 2023, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks and predictions for Saturday, December 16, have been generated after thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket picks for sports betting, it's crucial that you practice responsible gambling and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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