NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Saturday 11/4/2023

Another exciting day of NBA basketball is on the menu, and we've simulated each matchup thousands of times to find the most reliable NBA first basket picks for you on Saturday, November 4, 2023.

NBA first basket props are one of the more popular options for sports bettors to wager on, and by using Saturday's data-backed projections below, you can gain an edge over other bettors.

All of the top online sportsbooks across the country offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, but pinpointing where the best value lies can be challenging. That's where Dimers.com's state-of-the-art approach comes into play.

Saturday's NBA slate features players such as Nikola Jokic, Cam Thomas, and Domantas Sabonis, each with a high chance of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

Here, we will provide you with a list of players that our predictive analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on November 4.

MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Saturday 11/4/2023

After simulating the result of today's NBA slate thousands of times, our predictive model has found the best NBA first basket betting pick for Saturday.

1. DeMar DeRozan To Score First Basket (+950)

• Odds: +950 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 12.4%
• Matchup: Bulls vs. Nuggets (9:00PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Bulls and Nuggets. The bet is on DeMar DeRozan (CHI) at odds of +950 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 2.9%.

Today's NBA First Basket Predictions: Saturday, November 4, 2023

As well as providing you with the best NBA first basket bets today, Dimers.com has also determined the most likely players to score the first basket across all of Saturday's games.

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across all of today's matchups is Nikola Jokic, with a probability of 16.8%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Cam Thomas, with a 16.8% probability, and Domantas Sabonis, with a 13.7% probability.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: November 4, 2023

• Nikola Jokic (Nuggets): 16.8% probability
• Cam Thomas (Nets): 16.8% probability
• Domantas Sabonis (Kings): 13.7% probability
• Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves): 13.6% probability
• Kristaps Porzingis (Celtics): 13.2% probability
• Mikal Bridges (Nets): 12.8% probability
• Lauri Markkanen (Jazz): 12.6% probability
• Zach LaVine (Bulls): 12.5% probability
• DeMar DeRozan (Bulls): 12.4% probability
• Alperen Sengun (Rockets): 12.3% probability

Remember, although this list shows the players with the highest probability of scoring the first basket on Saturday, it does not necessarily mean they are suggested bets according to our predictive analytics model.

To increase your chances of winning, it's important to look out for favorable odds.

MORE: NBA Props

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: November 4, 2023

All of our NBA first basket picks and predictions for Saturday, November 4, are made thanks to rigorous data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket picks for your personal gambling, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More NBA on Dimers

So, you like our NBA first basket props coverage? Awesome. Did you know our NBA Betting News section has a detailed betting preview for every NBA matchupas soon as the sportsbooks put out their odds? It's only a click away, so why not take a look around?