NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Saturday 11/11/2023

Another action-packed day of NBA basketball is on the cards, and we've simulated each game thousands of times to find the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Saturday, November 11, 2023.

NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular options for sports bettors to wager on, and by using Saturday's data-backed predictions below, you can gain an advantage over other bettors.

The top sportsbooks offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, and by utilizing our state-of-the-art machine learning and analysis, Dimers.com has been able to identify where to find the best value on Saturday, 11/11.

Saturday's NBA slate features players such as Stephen Curry, Donovan Mitchell, and Bam Adebayo, each with a high probability of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

Here, we will provide you with a list of players that our basketball model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on November 11.

MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Saturday 11/11/2023

Having simulated the outcome of today's NBA matchups 10,000 times each, our predictive model has discovered the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Saturday.

1. Stephen Curry To Score First Basket (+650)

• Odds: +650 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 16.7%
• Game: Cavaliers vs. Warriors (8:30PM EST)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Saturday's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Cavaliers and Warriors. The bet is on Stephen Curry (GSW) at odds of +650 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 3.4%.

The next two recommended bets are for Haywood Highsmith (1.4% edge) to score first in the Heat vs. Hawks game and Duncan Robinson (0.4%) to score the first basket, also in the Heat-Hawks matchup.

2. Haywood Highsmith To Score First Basket (+1000)

• Odds: +1000 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 1.4%
• Probability: 10.5%
• Matchup: Heat vs. Hawks (7:30PM EST)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today comes in the Heat vs. Hawks game, where our model has found an edge of 1.4% on Haywood Highsmith (MIA) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

3. Duncan Robinson To Score First Basket (+800)

• Odds: +800 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 0.4%
• Probability: 11.5%
• Matchup: Heat vs. Hawks (7:30PM EST)

Our next NBA first basket bet today comes in the Heat vs. Hawks game, where our model has found an edge of 0.4% on Duncan Robinson (MIA) at odds of +800 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

4. Jalen Johnson To Score First Basket (+800)

• Odds: +800 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 0.3%
• Probability: 11.4%
• Game: Heat vs. Hawks (7:30PM EST)

The next best first basket bet for today's NBA action comes in the Heat vs. Hawks game, where our model has found an edge of 0.3% on Jalen Johnson (ATL) at odds of +800 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Tonight's NBA First Basket Predictions: Saturday, November 11, 2023

In addition to providing you with the best NBA first basket bets today, Dimers.com has also identified the most likely players to score the first basket across all of Saturday's games.

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in any of today's matchups is Stephen Curry, with a probability of 16.7%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Donovan Mitchell, with a 15.1% probability, and Bam Adebayo, with a 13.7% probability.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: November 11, 2023

Thanks to simulating every one of Saturday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Stephen Curry (Warriors)	16.7%
Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers)	15.1%
Bam Adebayo (Heat)	13.7%
Dejounte Murray (Hawks)	11.7%
Duncan Robinson (Heat)	11.5%
Jalen Johnson (Hawks)	11.4%
Haywood Highsmith (Heat)	10.5%
Trae Young (Hawks)	10.3%
Darius Garland (Cavaliers)	10.0%
Evan Mobley (Cavaliers)	9.8%

Remember, although this list shows the players with the highest probability of scoring the first basket on Saturday, it does not necessarily mean they are recommended bets according to DimersBOT.

To increase your chances of winning, it's important to look out for favorable odds.

MORE: NBA Props

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: November 11, 2023

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks and predictions for Saturday, November 11, are based on thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket predictions for sports betting, it's important that you practice responsible gambling and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More NBA on Dimers

As well as providing NBA prop predictions such as the first basket picks featured above for Saturday, we also provide a detailed list of NBA prop trends to assist with your basketball bets every day. These NBA betting trends will tell you how often players are hitting certain prop lines, with numbers for every single NBA matchup on November 11, 2023.