NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Saturday 10/28/2023

We have another big day of NBA basketball ahead of us, and we've simulated all of today's games thousands of times to find the most reliable NBA first basket bets for you to make on Saturday, October 28, 2023.

NBA first basket props are one of the most popular options for basketball bettors to wager on, and by using Saturday's data-backed predictions below, you can gain an edge over everyone else.

All of the top online sportsbooks throughout the nation offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, and by utilizing our high-tech machine learning and analysis, Dimers.com has identified where to find the best value on Saturday, 10/28.

Saturday's NBA games are expected to feature big names such as Kevin Durant, Pascal Siakam, and Anthony Edwards, each with a high chance of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

Here, we will provide you with a list of players that our basketball model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on October 28.

MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Saturday 10/28/2023

After simulating the result of today's NBA matchups 10,000 times each, our leading predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has discovered the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Saturday.

1. Duncan Robinson To Score First Basket (+1200)

• Odds: +1200 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 12%
• Matchup: Heat vs. Timberwolves (8:00PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Heat and Timberwolves. The bet is on Duncan Robinson (MIA) at odds of +1200 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 4.3%.

The next two recommended bets are for Tyler Herro (1.1% edge) to score first in the Heat vs. Timberwolves game and Tyrese Maxey (0.7%) to score the first basket in the 76ers vs. Raptors matchup.

2. Tyler Herro To Score First Basket (+700)

• Odds: +700 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 1.1%
• Probability: 13.6%
• Matchup: Heat vs. Timberwolves (8:00PM ET)

The next best NBA first basket bet for Saturday also comes in the Heat vs. Timberwolves game, where our model has found an edge of 1.1% on Tyler Herro (MIA) at odds of +700 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

3. Tyrese Maxey To Score First Basket (+700)

• Odds: +700 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 0.7%
• Probability: 13.2%
• Game: 76ers vs. Raptors (7:30PM ET)

Our next NBA first basket bet on Saturday comes in the 76ers vs. Raptors game, where our model has found an edge of 0.7% on Tyrese Maxey (PHI) at odds of +700 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

4. Tyrese Haliburton To Score First Basket (+700)

• Odds: +700 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 0.4%
• Probability: 12.9%
• Matchup: Pacers vs. Cavaliers (7:30PM ET)

The next best first basket bet for Saturday's NBA action comes in the Pacers vs. Cavaliers game, where our model has found an edge of 0.4% on Tyrese Haliburton (IND) at odds of +700 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

5. Caris LeVert To Score First Basket (+700)

• Odds: +700 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 0.1%
• Probability: 12.6%
• Matchup: Pacers vs. Cavaliers (7:30PM ET)

Rounding out Dimers' top five NBA first basket bets for Saturday is Caris LeVert (CLE) at odds of +700 in the Pacers vs. Cavaliers game. Here, our model has found an edge of 0.1% with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA First Basket Predictions: Saturday, October 28, 2023

In addition to presenting the best NBA first basket bets today, Dimers.com has also found the most likely players to score the first basket across all of Saturday's games.

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across today's matchups is Kevin Durant, with a probability of 17.2%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Pascal Siakam, with a 14.5% probability, and Anthony Edwards, with a 14.0% probability.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: October 28, 2023

• Kevin Durant (Suns): 17.2% probability
• Pascal Siakam (Raptors): 14.5% probability
• Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves): 14.0% probability
• Joel Embiid (76ers): 13.6% probability
• Tyler Herro (Heat): 13.6% probability
• Tyrese Maxey (76ers): 13.2% probability
• Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers): 12.9% probability
• Karl-Anthony Towns (Timberwolves): 12.7% probability
• Caris LeVert (Cavaliers): 12.6% probability
• Duncan Robinson (Heat): 12.0% probability

Remember, although this list shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Saturday, it does not always indicate they are suggested bets according to DimersBOT.

To increase your chances of winning, it's important to keep an eye on the best odds available.

MORE: NBA Props

Understanding Betting Edge

At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: October 28, 2023

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks for Saturday, October 28, are the result of thousands of data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket predictions for sports betting, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More NBA on Dimers

If you enjoyed our NBA first basket props, you're definitely going to want to take a look at our NBA prop picks for today.

Here, we have bets on player points, rebounds, assists, 3-pointers, and more! Plus, with the ability to filter which of Saturday's NBA games you want props for, there's no lack of options when it comes to your same-game parlays for today's basketball betting action.