NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Monday 6/12/2023

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Written by Kevin Hansen
NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Monday 6/12/2023

It's time for a action-packed day of NBA Finals basketball, and we've run thousands of Nuggets vs. Heat Game 5 simulations to find the best NBA first basket picks for you on Monday June 12, 2023.

NBA first basket props have become one of the most popular options for NBA bettors to wager on, and by using Monday's projections below, you can gain an advantage over other bettors.

 

The best online sportsbooks in the country offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, and by utilizing our state-of-the-art computer power and data, Dimers.com has been able to identify where to find the best value on Monday 6/12.

Monday's NBA Finals Game 5 between the Nuggets and Heat is set to showcase players such as Nikola Jokic, Jimmy Butler, and Jamal Murray, each with a high probability of opening the scoring in tonight's Finals game.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on June 12.

MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times

Best First Basket Picks Today - Nuggets vs. Heat Game 5

After simulating today's Nuggets vs. Heat Game 5, our independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has found the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Monday.

Gabe Vincent To Score First Basket (+1400)

  • Odds: +1400 via FanDuel Sportsbook
  • Edge: 3.4%
  • Probability: 10.1%
  • Game: Heat vs. Nuggets (8:30PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Game 5 between the Heat and Nuggets. The bet is on Gabe Vincent (MIA) at odds of +1400 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 3.4%.

 

The next two suggested bets are for Jimmy Butler (0.9% edge) to score first in the Heat vs. Nuggets game, and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (0.5%) to score the first basket, also in the Heat-Nuggets matchup.

Jimmy Butler To Score First Basket (+700)

  • Odds: +700 via FanDuel Sportsbook
  • Edge: 0.9%
  • Probability: 13.4%
  • Game: Heat vs. Nuggets (8:30PM ET)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today's Heat vs. Nuggets game is the result of our model finding an edge of 0.9% on Jimmy Butler (MIA) at odds of +700 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

 

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope To Score First Basket (+1700)

  • Odds: +1700 via FanDuel Sportsbook
  • Edge: 0.5%
  • Probability: 6.1%
  • Game: Heat vs. Nuggets (8:30PM ET)

Our next best NBA first basket bet today comes in the Heat vs. Nuggets game, where our model has found an edge of 0.5% on Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (DEN) at odds of +1700 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

 

Kevin Love To Score First Basket (+1000)

  • Odds: +1000 via FanDuel Sportsbook
  • Edge: 0.2%
  • Probability: 9.3%
  • Game: Heat vs. Nuggets (8:30PM ET)

Our next best first basket bet for today's NBA action comes in the Heat vs. Nuggets game, where our model has found an edge of 0.2% on Kevin Love (MIA) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

 

Today's NBA First Basket Predictions - Monday June 12, 2023

In addition to presenting the best NBA first basket bets today, Dimers.com has also determined the most likely players to score the first basket in Game 5 of Nuggets vs. Heat.

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket today is Nikola Jokic, with a probability of 14.9%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Jimmy Butler, with a 13.4% probability, and Jamal Murray, with a 13.1% probability.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight - June 12, 2023

With Game 5 of the NBA Finals between the Nuggets and Heat scheduled tonight, DimersBOT has provided the probabiliy of each of the 10 projected starters scoring first.

  • Nikola Jokic (DEN): 14.9% probability
  • Jimmy Butler (MIA): 13.4% probability
  • Jamal Murray (DEN): 13.1% probability
  • Bam Adebayo (MIA): 11.6% probability
  • Gabe Vincent (MIA): 10.1% probability
  • Kevin Love (MIA): 9.3% probability
  • Aaron Gordon (DEN): 8.2% probability
  • Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (DEN): 6.1% probability
  • Max Strus (MIA): 5.6% probability

Keep in mind that this list only shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Monday, which does not always indicate that our model recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning, it's important to look out for the best odds available.

MORE: NBA Props - Monday June 12, 2023

What Is an Edge in Betting?

The edge at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks - June 12, 2023

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks and predictions for Monday June 12 are made thanks to thousands of data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket predictions for your personal gambling, it's important that you practice responsible gambling and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More About NBA

As well as providing NBA prop plays such as the first basket picks featured above for Monday, we also provide a detailed list of NBA prop trends to assist with your NBA bets every day. These best trends will tell you how often star players are hitting certain prop lines, with numbers for each and every NBA matchup on June 12, 2023.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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