NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Monday 12/11/2023

Another action-packed day of NBA action is on the menu, and we've simulated all of today's matchups thousands of times to find the most reliable NBA first basket predictions for you on Monday, December 11, 2023.

Monday's NBA games are expected to feature players such as Giannis Antetokounmpo, De'Aaron Fox and Jordan Clarkson, each with a high chance of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular options for NBA bettors to wager on, and by using Monday's data-backed projections below, you can gain an advantage over other bettors.

All of the top online sportsbooks throughout the nation offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, but finding where the best value lies can be puzzling. That's where Dimers.com's high-tech approach comes into play.

Here, we will provide you with a list of players that our analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on December 11.

MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Monday 12/11/2023

Having simulated the result of today's NBA matchups 10K times each, our leading predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has discovered the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Monday.

1. Jordan Clarkson To Score First Basket (+700)

• Odds: +700
• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 15.6%
• Matchup: Jazz vs. Thunder (8:00PM EST)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Monday's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Jazz and Thunder. The bet is on Jordan Clarkson (UTA) at odds of +700 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 3.1%.

2. Kawhi Leonard To Score First Basket (+750)

• Odds: +750
• Edge: 2.1%
• Probability: 13.8%
• Game: Trail Blazers vs. Clippers (10:30PM EST)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today comes in the Trail Blazers vs. Clippers game, where our model has found an edge of 2.1% on Kawhi Leonard (LAC) at odds of +750 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

3. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander To Score First Basket (+600)

• Odds: +600
• Edge: 0.7%
• Probability: 15%
• Matchup: Jazz vs. Thunder (8:00PM EST)

Our next NBA first basket bet on Monday comes in the Jazz vs. Thunder game, where our model has found an edge of 0.7% on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) at odds of +600 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA First Basket Predictions: Monday, December 11, 2023

In addition to providing you with the best NBA first basket bets today, we have also determined the most likely players to score the first basket across all of Monday's games.

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across all of today's matchups is Giannis Antetokounmpo, with a probability of 15.8%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are De'Aaron Fox, with a 15.6% probability, and Jordan Clarkson, with a 15.6% probability.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: December 11, 2023

Thanks to simulating each one of Monday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks)	15.8%
De'Aaron Fox (Kings)	15.6%
Jordan Clarkson (Jazz)	15.6%
Luka Doncic (Mavericks)	15.5%
Karl-Anthony Towns (Timberwolves)	15.0%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)	15.0%
Anfernee Simons (Trail Blazers)	14.3%
Kawhi Leonard (Clippers)	13.8%
Alperen Sengun (Rockets)	13.6%
Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers)	13.5%

Keep in mind that this list only shows the players with the highest probability of scoring the first basket on Monday, which does not necessarily indicate that our model, DimersBOT, recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning, it's important to keep an eye on the best odds available.

MORE: NBA Props

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: December 11, 2023

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for December 11, 2023, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

All of our NBA first basket picks for Monday, December 11, are generated thanks to thousands of data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket picks for sports betting, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More on NBA

This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.

For more NBA betting content we have NBA trends for every game, as well as daily NBA betting news, the best NBA promos and the latest NBA title odds and predictions.