NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Monday 11/6/2023

We have another action-packed day of NBA upon us, and we've simulated every matchup 10,000 times to find the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Monday, November 6, 2023.

NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular options for sports bettors to wager on, and by using Monday's data-driven predictions below, you can gain an edge over everyone else.

All of the best sportsbooks in the country offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, and by utilizing our high-tech machine learning and analysis, Dimers.com has identified where the best value lies on Monday, 11/6.

Monday's NBA slate features star players such as Stephen Curry, Jalen Brunson, and Nikola Jokic, each with a high probability of scoring first when they take to the court.

Here, we will provide you with a list of players that our basketball model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on November 6.

MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Monday 11/6/2023

After simulating the result of today's NBA slate thousands of times, our leading predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has generated the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Monday.

1. Kyle Kuzma To Score First Basket (+1000)

• Odds: +1000 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 13.7%
• Game: Wizards vs. 76ers (7:00PM EST)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Monday's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Wizards and 76ers. The bet is on Kyle Kuzma (WAS) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 4.6%.

The next two suggested plays are for Anthony Edwards (0.9% edge) to score first in the Celtics vs. Timberwolves game and LeBron James (0.9%) to score the first basket in the Lakers vs. Heat matchup.

2. Anthony Edwards To Score First Basket (+700)

• Odds: +700 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 0.9%
• Probability: 13.4%
• Game: Celtics vs. Timberwolves (8:00PM EST)

The next best NBA first basket bet for Monday comes in the Celtics vs. Timberwolves game, where our model has found an edge of 0.9% on Anthony Edwards (MIN) at odds of +700 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

3. LeBron James To Score First Basket (+650)

• Odds: +650 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 0.9%
• Probability: 14.3%
• Game: Lakers vs. Heat (7:30PM EST)

Our next NBA first basket bet on Monday comes in the Lakers vs. Heat game, where our model has found an edge of 0.9% on LeBron James (LAL) at odds of +650 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

4. Tyler Herro To Score First Basket (+650)

• Odds: +650 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 0.6%
• Probability: 13.9%
• Game: Lakers vs. Heat (7:30PM EST)

The next best first basket bet for today's NBA action comes in the Lakers vs. Heat game, where our model has found an edge of 0.6% on Tyler Herro (MIA) at odds of +650 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

5. Cade Cunningham To Score First Basket (+600)

• Odds: +600 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 0.4%
• Probability: 14.7%
• Game: Warriors vs. Pistons (7:00PM EST)

Rounding out our top five NBA first basket bets for today is Cade Cunningham (DET) at odds of +600 in the Warriors vs. Pistons game. Here, our model has found an edge of 0.4% with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA First Basket Predictions: Monday, November 6, 2023

In addition to providing you with the best NBA first basket bets today, Dimers.com has also identified the most likely players to score the first basket across all of Monday's games.

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across all of today's games is Stephen Curry, with a probability of 16.8%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Jalen Brunson, with a 16.5% probability, and Nikola Jokic, with a 16.4% probability.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: November 6, 2023

• Stephen Curry (Warriors): 16.8% probability
• Jalen Brunson (Knicks): 16.5% probability
• Nikola Jokic (Nuggets): 16.4% probability
• Mikal Bridges (Nets): 15.5% probability
• Zion Williamson (Pelicans): 14.8% probability
• Cade Cunningham (Pistons): 14.7% probability
• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder): 14.6% probability
• Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks): 14.5% probability
• LeBron James (Lakers): 14.2% probability
• Joel Embiid (76ers): 14.0% probability

Remember, although this list shows the players with the highest probability of scoring the first basket on Monday, it does not necessarily indicate they are suggested bets according to our predictive analytics model.

To increase your chances of winning, it's important to keep an eye on favorable odds.

MORE: NBA Props

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: November 6, 2023

All of Dimers' NBA first basket predictions for Monday, November 6, are generated thanks to thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket predictions for sports betting, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More NBA on Dimers

As well as providing NBA prop predictions such as the first basket picks featured above for Monday, we also provide a detailed range of NBA prop trends to help with your NBA bets every day. These best trends will tell you how often players are hitting certain prop lines, with numbers for each and every NBA matchup on November 6, 2023.