NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Monday 11/27/2023

It's time for a big day of NBA action, and we've simulated each game thousands of times to find the best NBA first basket predictions for you on Monday, November 27, 2023.

NBA first basket props are one of the most popular options for basketball fans to bet on, and by using Monday's data-backed predictions below, you can gain an edge over other bettors.

The best sportsbooks across the country offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, and by utilizing our trusted computer power and analysis, Dimers.com has identified where to find the best value on Monday, 11/27.

Monday's NBA slate features big names such as Brandon Ingram, Paul George, and Zion Williamson, each with a high probability of opening the scoring when they take to the court.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our basketball model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on November 27.

MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times

Best First Basket Picks Today: Monday 11/27/2023

Having simulated the result of today's NBA slate thousands of times, our predictive model has discovered the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Monday.

1. Paul George To Score First Basket (+650)

• Odds: +650
• Edge: 0.7%
• Probability: 14.1%
• Game: Nuggets vs. Clippers (10:30PM EST)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Monday's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Nuggets and Clippers. The bet is on Paul George (LAC) at odds of +650 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 0.7%.

2. Reggie Jackson To Score First Basket (+750)

• Odds: +750
• Edge: 0.4%
• Probability: 12.2%
• Game: Nuggets vs. Clippers (10:30PM EST)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today also comes in the Nuggets vs. Clippers game, where our model has found an edge of 0.4% on Reggie Jackson (DEN) at odds of +750 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA First Basket Predictions: Monday, November 27, 2023

As well as presenting the best NBA first basket bets today, Dimers.com has also identified the most likely players to score the first basket across all of Monday's games.

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across all of today's matchups is Brandon Ingram, with a probability of 14.5%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Paul George, with a 14.1% probability, and Zion Williamson, with a 13.8% probability.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: November 27, 2023

Thanks to simulating each one of Monday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Brandon Ingram (Pelicans)	14.5%
Paul George (Clippers)	14.1%
Zion Williamson (Pelicans)	13.8%
Jordan Clarkson (Jazz)	13.4%
Kawhi Leonard (Clippers)	12.6%
Reggie Jackson (Nuggets)	12.2%
Omer Yurtseven (Jazz)	12.1%

Keep in mind that this list only shows the players with the highest probability of scoring the first basket on Monday, which does not necessarily mean that our model recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning, it's important to keep an eye on the best odds available.

MORE: NBA Props

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: November 27, 2023

All of Dimers' NBA first basket predictions for Monday, November 27, are the result of rigorous data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket predictions for your personal gambling, it's vital that you practice responsible gambling and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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