NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Monday 1/1/2024

Another big day of NBA action is on the cards, and we've simulated every matchup 10,000 times to find the best NBA first basket picks and odds for Monday, January 1, 2024.

Monday's NBA slate is expected to feature big names such as Kawhi Leonard, Luka Doncic and Tyler Herro, each with a high probability of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props are one of the more popular options for sports fans to bet on, and by using Monday's data-backed NBA predictions below, you can gain an edge over everyone else.

The best sportsbooks offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, and by utilizing our high-tech machine learning and analysis, Dimers.com has identified where the best value can be found on Monday, 1/1.

Here, we will provide you with a list of players that our predictive analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on January 1.

Best First Basket Picks Today: Monday 1/1/2024

After simulating the outcome of today's NBA matchups 10,000 times each, our predictive model has found the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Monday.

1. Collin Sexton To Score First Basket (+950)

• Odds: +950
• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 13.7%
• Matchup: Mavericks vs. Jazz (9:00PM EST)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Monday's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Mavericks and Jazz. The bet is on Collin Sexton (UTA) at odds of +950 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 4.2%.

The next two suggested bets are for Kawhi Leonard (2.4% edge) to score first in the Heat vs. Clippers game and Tyler Herro (2.4%) to score the first basket, also in the Heat-Clippers matchup.

2. Kawhi Leonard To Score First Basket (+700)

• Odds: +700
• Edge: 2.4%
• Probability: 14.9%
• Matchup: Heat vs. Clippers (10:30PM EST)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today comes in the Heat vs. Clippers game, where our model has found an edge of 2.4% on Kawhi Leonard (LAC) at odds of +700 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

3. Tyler Herro To Score First Basket (+750)

• Odds: +750
• Edge: 2.4%
• Probability: 14.1%
• Game: Heat vs. Clippers (10:30PM EST)

Our next NBA first basket bet on Monday comes in the Heat vs. Clippers game, where our model has found an edge of 2.4% on Tyler Herro (MIA) at odds of +750 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

4. Kyrie Irving To Score First Basket (+650)

• Odds: +650
• Edge: 0.0%
• Probability: 13.4%
• Matchup: Mavericks vs. Jazz (9:00PM EST)

The next best first basket bet for Monday's NBA action comes in the Mavericks vs. Jazz game, where our model has found an edge of 0.0% on Kyrie Irving (DAL) at odds of +650 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA First Basket Predictions: Monday, January 1, 2024

As well as presenting the best NBA first basket bets today, Dimers.com has also determined the most likely players to score the first basket across all of Monday's games.

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across today's matchups is Kawhi Leonard, with a probability of 14.9%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Luka Doncic, with a 14.5% probability, and Tyler Herro, with a 14.1% probability.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: January 1, 2024

Thanks to simulating every one of Monday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Kawhi Leonard (Clippers)	14.9%
Luka Doncic (Mavericks)	14.5%
Tyler Herro (Heat)	14.1%
Jamal Murray (Nuggets)	13.9%
Collin Sexton (Jazz)	13.7%
Kyrie Irving (Mavericks)	13.4%
Jerami Grant (Trail Blazers)	13.3%
Lauri Markkanen (Jazz)	13.3%
Devin Booker (Suns)	13.2%
Brandon Miller (Hornets)	12.9%

Keep in mind that this list only shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Monday, which does not always indicate that DimersBOT recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to keep an eye on favorable odds.

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: January 1, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for January 1, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks and predictions for Monday, January 1, are the result of rigorous data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket picks for your personal gambling, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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